Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents

Total Volume

$12.83K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents

Vol

$12.83K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $12.83K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $12.83K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?	Kalshi	71%
Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?	Kalshi	15%
Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp hike AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?	Kalshi	9%
Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp hike AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp cut AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp cut AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

71%

Top Probability

$12.83K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

For Oct 2026 If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Federal Funds Rate Decision uses FEDDECISION, Dissents uses FOMCDISSENTC

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** For Oct 2026

If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Federal Funds Rate Decision uses FEDDECISION, Dissents uses FOMCDISSENTC

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp hike, Dissents:   0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes i"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $12.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp hike AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp hike AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $4.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp cut AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp cut AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents

Volume$12.83K

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.5¢No 29.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?

If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Federal Funds Rate Decision: No change, Dissents: 0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes i

KALSHI

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?

KALSHI

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp hike AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp hike AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?

If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes imp

KALSHI

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp hike AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp hike AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?

KALSHI

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp cut AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp cut AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?

If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp cut, Dissents: 0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impo

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

17¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Q-YmdN" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents

October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents

Markets (6)

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp hike AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp hike AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp hike AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp hike AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp cut AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp cut AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp hike AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp hike AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp hike AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp hike AND Dissents be >0 for Oct 2026?

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp cut AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?

Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp cut AND Dissents be 0 for Oct 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget