Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
PM $177.67
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1
Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
PM $177.67
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $177.67
Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket contract, titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET" [1], is a binary market on the direction of a short price window. The source states that it "will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"." [1]
The resolution source is specified as Chainlink data. The rules say the market is "about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets." [1] A reader comparing this contract with a spot price on another venue should expect that the two may not match, because the rules name a single data stream.
The listed end time is 2026-08-05T15:00:00.000Z [1]. The title's 11:00AM ET close corresponds to that timestamp. The provider observed the market at 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z, and this evidence was retrieved at 2026-10-16T01:19:32.194Z [1]. The listed end time falls well before the retrieval date, and the evidence does not record a resolution outcome. The snapshot should therefore be read as a historical record of quoted prices, not a live market.
Reading the snapshot
The saved market shows two outcomes. "Up" is quoted at 0.0005 and "Down" at 0.9995 [1]. Under the rules, these figures are the provider's reported prices at the observation time, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities.
This sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record lists one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Because only one contract is present, there is no cross-platform or cross-contract comparison to make. The prices should not be combined with any other contract, even one with a similar title, because the rules and close times may differ.
The evidence does not include volume, trader counts, or price history, so it cannot show how the quoted prices changed or how much trading occurred.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not state the actual resolution outcome, the closing price at 15:00 UTC, or whether the market settled. It also does not explain why the prices stand where they do, and this analysis does not offer a reason.
The provider's status field read "active" at the observation time [1]. That status does not reflect the current state, because the retrieval occurred after the listed end time. Readers should check the provider's current status and the Chainlink data stream directly before drawing any conclusion about settlement.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This contract is a short-window price market titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET" in the crypto category. It is listed on Polymarket and covers a 15-minute window on August 5, with a listed end time of 2026-08-05T15:00:00.000Z [1]. The contract asks whether the Hyperliquid price moves up or down across that window. According to the contract rules, it resolves to "Up" if the price at the end of the time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream [1]. The contract rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream and not the prices reported by other sources or spot markets [1]. This matters because two platforms or exchanges can report different HYPE prices at the same moment, so the named data stream determines the outcome. The saved record shows two outcomes, "Up" and "Down", with prices of 0.0005 and 0.9995 respectively at the time of the provider observation [1]. These figures are snapshot prices from that observation. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of what happened in the window.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of HYPE/USD price movement over a defined 15-minute interval, as recorded by one named Chainlink data stream [1]. Its usefulness as a reference depends on the rules: the comparison is between the price at the start and end of the window, and a result of equal prices resolves to "Up" [1]. Anyone reading a snapshot should separate three things. The observation time is when the provider data was recorded, the retrieval time is when this record was collected, and the contract's listed end time is when the window closed. The saved record shows the status as active at the time of observation [1]. It does not establish a final resolution outcome, so the record should not be read as showing which side won.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
The market resolves to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price source is used to settle the contract?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream. The contract rules say it concerns that data stream and not other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the trading window for this contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-08-05T15:00:00.000Z, which is the end of the 10:45AM to 11:00AM ET range named in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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