Events
GroupKALSHI
Stony Brook at Hofstra
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
0
markets · $0.00
Kalshi
2
markets · $2.19K
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $2.19K
100%
Kalshi leads
2 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
Stony Brook at Hofstra Winner? (Stony Brook) | Kalshi | 55% |
Stony Brook at Hofstra Winner? (Hofstra) | Kalshi | 45% |
$2.19K
1
2
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
STON at HOF (Jan 16) If X wins the Stony Brook at Hofstra women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team who wins the Stony Brook at Hofstra women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 16, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished, within two weeks. If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled f
The prediction market currently prices a Stony Brook victory at 55%, implying the market views them as a slight favorite. This probability suggests the market sees the Seawolves as more likely than not to win, but the game is essentially viewed as a toss-up given the narrow margin. The opposing "Hofstra to win" contract trades at approximately 45%, confirming the tight spread. With only $2,000 in total volume across both sides, liquidity is thin, indicating lower confidence in these initial odds and higher potential for price volatility.
The primary factor is Stony Brook's historical dominance in the CAA conference. The Seawolves have been a consistent powerhouse in recent seasons, often finishing near the top of the league standings with a strong defensive identity. Secondly, the game is scheduled as a conference road game for Stony Brook. While home court typically offers a 3-5 point advantage in college basketball, the market's pricing indicates Stony Brook's perceived team quality is enough to slightly overcome Hofstra's home court edge at the David S. Mack Sports and Exhibition Complex. The thin volume, however, suggests this assessment is based more on preseason expectations and recent history than on current season form.
Significant roster news before the January 2026 tip-off, such as a key player injury or transfer, would immediately shift these odds. More likely, the odds will see major movement based on the performance of both teams throughout the 2025-2026 season leading up to this conference matchup. If Hofstra starts the season strong with notable non-conference wins, their contract price will rise substantially above the current 45%. Conversely, if Stony Brook struggles early or suffers unexpected losses, their odds will likely fall toward 50% or lower. The market will become more efficient and liquid as the game approaches and more game-specific data, like team records and player statistics, becomes available.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market topic concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Stony Brook University and Hofstra University, originally scheduled for January 16, 2026. The market resolves to 'Yes' if the designated team 'X' wins the contest. The game is part of the Coastal Athletic Association (CAA) conference schedule, a key determinant for postseason tournament seeding. The market includes specific provisions for postponement, remaining open and resolving based on a rescheduled game played within two weeks of the original date. If the game is cancelled and not rescheduled, the market resolution follows the platform's specific rules for such contingencies. Interest in this market stems from its function as a speculative instrument on a discrete sporting event, attracting bettors, fans, and analytical traders who assess team strength, coaching strategies, and player matchups. The CAA women's basketball landscape is competitive, with multiple teams often in contention for the conference title, making individual matchups like this one significant for league standings and potential NCAA Tournament at-large bids. The market provides a financialized perspective on a specific athletic competition, reflecting collective expectations about team performance on a given date.
The Stony Brook-Hofstra women's basketball rivalry is a relatively new conference matchup, intensified by Stony Brook's entry into the CAA on July 1, 2022. Both institutions are public universities located on Long Island, New York, adding a regional derby element to the competition. In their first meeting as CAA foes on January 20, 2023, Stony Brook defeated Hofstra 67-50 at the Island Federal Credit Union Arena. The 2023-2024 season saw a split in the series. Hofstra won the first game 66-64 in Hempstead on January 14, 2024, before Stony Brook secured a 70-58 victory in the rematch in Stony Brook on February 11, 2024. Historically, Stony Brook has found more success in recent years, making postseason appearances in the WNIT (2023, 2024) and the NCAA Tournament (2022). Hofstra's last NCAA Tournament appearance was in 2022 as well, after winning the CAA championship. The scheduling of this game for January places it in the heart of the conference season, where outcomes significantly impact standings for the CAA Tournament in March.
Beyond the immediate game result, this market reflects the growing intersection of sports analytics and financial markets. Prediction markets aggregate dispersed information, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of event outcomes than traditional polls or expert analysis. For the universities involved, the game is a component of athletic department performance metrics, influencing recruiting, alumni engagement, and institutional prestige. A win can bolster a team's resume for postseason consideration, which carries financial implications through potential NCAA Tournament revenue units. For the CAA, competitive matchups enhance the conference's media profile and attractiveness for television contracts. The market also matters to bettors and traders who use such platforms to apply quantitative models to sports, treating athletic performance as an asset class. The specific contingency rules for postponement test the robustness of prediction market mechanisms in handling real-world uncertainties inherent in sports scheduling.
As of the 2024-2025 season, both teams are preparing for their upcoming campaigns. Stony Brook is viewed as a preseason contender for the CAA title, returning several key players including Gigi Gonzalez. Hofstra is in a rebuilding phase under Coach Santos Atkinson, focusing on integrating new recruits and developing returning talent. The specific January 16, 2026 date is part of the future CAA conference schedule, which is typically finalized in the preceding summer. Player rosters for the 2025-2026 season, which will determine the participants in this game, are not yet set due to ongoing recruitment and potential transfers. The prediction market is active based on projected team strengths and historical data, with odds fluctuating as new information about team composition and performance emerges.
The game is scheduled to be played at the David S. Mack Sports and Exhibition Complex on the campus of Hofstra University in Hempstead, New York. This arena has a capacity of 5,124 for basketball and serves as the home court for Hofstra Pride basketball teams.
Both universities are members of the Coastal Athletic Association (CAA) for women's basketball. Stony Brook joined the CAA on July 1, 2022, after previously competing in the America East Conference, while Hofstra has been a CAA member since 2001.
According to the market description, if the game is cancelled and not rescheduled to be played within two weeks of the original January 16, 2026 date, the market resolution will follow the prediction platform's specific rules for cancelled events. Traders should consult the platform's official rules for the precise resolution procedure in a cancellation scenario.
CAA conference games are typically broadcast on the conference's digital streaming platform, FloSports, via a subscription service. Select games may also be televised on regional sports networks or national channels like CBS Sports Network, as determined by the conference's media rights agreements.
In their most recent matchup on February 11, 2024, Stony Brook defeated Hofstra by a score of 70-58. The game was played at Stony Brook's Island Federal Credit Union Arena. Stony Brook's Gigi Gonzalez led all scorers with 19 points in that victory.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
Share your predictions and analysis with other traders. Coming soon!
No related news found
Add this market to your website
<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Q9RwFa" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Stony Brook at Hofstra"></iframe>