Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe

Name: 2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe
End: 2027-04-18T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$8.28K

Events

Markets

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2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe

Vol

$8.28K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $8.28K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $8.28K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will Édouard Philippe, but not Gabriel Attal, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Édouard Philippe, but not Gabriel Attal, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Poly	80%
Will Gabriel Attal, but not Édouard Philippe, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Poly	12%
Will both Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Poly	7%
Will neither Gabriel Attal nor Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

80%

Top Probability

$8.28K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Phili

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 18, 2027 (190 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Phili

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve according"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $8.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $48.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.17)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Gabriel Attal, but not Édouard Philippe, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2027): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Édouard Philippe, but not Gabriel Attal, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2027): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will both Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2027): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will neither Gabriel Attal nor Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics