Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHICommodities

Brent crude oil price on Oct 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

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$11.45K

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Brent crude oil price on Oct 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Vol

$11.45K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $11.45K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $11.45K

100%

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Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?	Kalshi	97%
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?	Kalshi	97%
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 99 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?	Kalshi	96%
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 99.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?	Kalshi	94%
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 100 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?	Kalshi	91%
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 100.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?	Kalshi	89%
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 101 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?	Kalshi	84%
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 101.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?	Kalshi	77%
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 102 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?	Kalshi	71%
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 102.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?	Kalshi	66%
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 103 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?	Kalshi	55%
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 103.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?	Kalshi	49%
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 104 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?	Kalshi	37%
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 104.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?	Kalshi	31%
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 105 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?	Kalshi	23%
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 105.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?	Kalshi	16%
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 106 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?	Kalshi	11%
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 106.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?	Kalshi	7%
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 107 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?	Kalshi	5%
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 107.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$11.45K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

Oct 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for brent crude oil on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above X USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Brent crude oil price on Oct 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
**Category:** Commodities | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Oct 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for brent crude oil on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above X USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for brent crude oil on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 99.50 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the brent crude oil close price be above 99.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $850
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the brent crude oil close price be above 99 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $535
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $95
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the brent crude oil close price be above 107.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $81
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the brent crude oil close price be above 107 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $161
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the brent crude oil close price be above 106.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $416
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the brent crude oil close price be above 106 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the brent crude oil close price be above 105.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $407
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the brent crude oil close price be above 105 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $715
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the brent crude oil close price be above 104.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $284
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the brent crude oil close price be above 104 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $821
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the brent crude oil close price be above 103.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the brent crude oil close price be above 103 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the brent crude oil close price be above 102.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $227
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the brent crude oil close price be above 102 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $225
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the brent crude oil close price be above 101.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $736
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will the brent crude oil close price be above 101 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $676
  DATA: [Yes: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the brent crude oil close price be above 100.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $886
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will the brent crude oil close price be above 100 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $886
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHICommodities

Brent crude oil price on Oct 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume$11.45K

Markets20

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KALSHI

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.0¢No 3.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for brent crude oil on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 98 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for

KALSHI

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for brent crude oil on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 98.50 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price

KALSHI

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 99 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 99 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for brent crude oil on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for

KALSHI

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 99.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 99.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for brent crude oil on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 99.50 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price

KALSHI

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 100 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.5¢No 9.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 100 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for brent crude oil on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 100 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price fo

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/QC3ndl" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Brent crude oil price on Oct 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?"></iframe>

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Brent crude oil price on Oct 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Brent crude oil price on Oct 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

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Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

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Events (1)

Brent crude oil price on Oct 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Markets (20)

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 99 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 99 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 99.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 99.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 100 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 100 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

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Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Brent crude oil price on Oct 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 99 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 99 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 99.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 99.50 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 100 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 100 USD/Bbl on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

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