Maduro mugshot released by Monday? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

Name: Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
End: 2026-01-05T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.52M

Events

Markets

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Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

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Polymarket

markets · $1.52M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.52M

100%

Polymarket leads

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1 market tracked

Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?	Poly	20%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

20%

Top Probability

$1.52M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official mugshot of President Nicolás Maduro taken after January 2 is made widely available to the public by January 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official mugshot of Nicolás Maduro becomes widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible report

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 5, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official mugshot of President Nicolás Maduro taken after January 2 is made widely available to the public by January 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official mugshot of Nicolás Maduro becomes widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, etc.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible report

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official mugshot of President Nicolás Maduro taken after January 2 is made widely available to the public by January 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official mugshot of Nicolás Maduro "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $226
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

20¢

Polymarket

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/QCnm3V" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Maduro mugshot released by Monday?"></iframe>

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Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

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Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)