Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

PPI YoY in September

Total Volume

$7.04K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

PPI YoY in September

Vol

$7.04K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $7.04K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.04K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 4.7%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 4.7%?	Kalshi	94%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.4%?	Kalshi	85%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.5%?	Kalshi	77%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.2%?	Kalshi	75%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.6%?	Kalshi	69%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.7%?	Kalshi	68%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 4.8%?	Kalshi	65%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 4.9%?	Kalshi	64%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.3%?	Kalshi	62%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.1%?	Kalshi	62%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.0%?	Kalshi	62%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 6.2%?	Kalshi	50%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 6.1%?	Kalshi	50%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.9%?	Kalshi	39%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 6.0%?	Kalshi	36%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.8%?	Kalshi	31%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$7.04K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

September 2026 If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** PPI YoY in September
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** September 2026

If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 6.2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 6.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 6.1%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 6.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.9%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $286
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.8%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.7%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $678
  DATA: [Yes: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.6%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 68.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.5%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $660
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.4%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $357
  DATA: [Yes: 85.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.3%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $666
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $157
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.1%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $411
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 4.9%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $57
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 4.8%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $109
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 4.7%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $398
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

PPI YoY in September

Volume$7.04K

Markets16

16 of 16

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KALSHI

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 4.7%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.0¢No 6.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 4.7%?

If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 4.7%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.4%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.0¢No 15.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.4%?

If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 5.4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.5%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 77.0¢No 23.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.5%?

If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 5.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.2%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 74.5¢No 25.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.2%?

If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 5.2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.6%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 68.5¢No 31.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.6%?

If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 5.6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

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62¢

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PPI YoY in September

PPI YoY in September

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Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 4.7%?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

PPI YoY in September

Markets (16)

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 4.7%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 4.7%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.4%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.4%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.5%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.5%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.2%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.2%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.6%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.6%?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 4.7%?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

PPI YoY in September

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 4.7%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 4.7%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.4%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.4%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.5%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.5%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.2%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.2%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.6%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 be above 5.6%?

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