GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

How many Eastern Pacific named storms will there be this year?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

How many Eastern Pacific named storms will there be this year?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will there be more than 16 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will there be more than 16 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	94%
Will there be more than 17 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	92%
Will there be more than 19 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	77%
Will there be more than 18 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	73%
Will there be more than 22 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	63%
Will there be more than 24 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	55%
Will there be more than 20 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	54%
Will there be more than 26 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	13%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Eastern Pacific in 2026 If more than X named storms occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the weather event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the weather event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many Eastern Pacific named storms will there be this year?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Eastern Pacific in 2026

If more than X named storms occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the weather event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the weather event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If more than 26 named storms occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the weather eve"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will there be more than 26 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will there be more than 24 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will there be more than 22 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will there be more than 20 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will there be more than 19 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will there be more than 18 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 73.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will there be more than 17 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will there be more than 16 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

How many Eastern Pacific named storms will there be this year?

Volume$0.00

Markets8

8 of 8

Sort:

KALSHI

Will there be more than 16 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will there be more than 16 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

If more than 16 named storms occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the weather eve

KALSHI

Will there be more than 17 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will there be more than 17 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

If more than 17 named storms occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the weather eve

KALSHI

Will there be more than 19 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 76.5¢No 23.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will there be more than 19 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

If more than 19 named storms occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the weather eve

KALSHI

Will there be more than 18 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.0¢No 27.0¢

KALSHIClimate

Will there be more than 18 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

If more than 18 named storms occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the weather eve

KALSHI

Will there be more than 22 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 62.5¢No 37.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will there be more than 22 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

If more than 22 named storms occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the weather eve

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

65¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/QIP-25" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="How many Eastern Pacific named storms will there be this year?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

How many Eastern Pacific named storms will there be this year?

How many Eastern Pacific named storms will there be this year?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will there be more than 16 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

How many Eastern Pacific named storms will there be this year?

Markets (8)

Will there be more than 16 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will there be more than 16 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will there be more than 17 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will there be more than 17 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will there be more than 19 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will there be more than 19 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will there be more than 18 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will there be more than 18 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will there be more than 22 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will there be more than 22 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will there be more than 16 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many Eastern Pacific named storms will there be this year?

Will there be more than 16 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will there be more than 16 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will there be more than 17 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will there be more than 17 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will there be more than 19 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will there be more than 19 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will there be more than 18 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will there be more than 18 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will there be more than 22 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will there be more than 22 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget