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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Name: Next Prime Minister of Denmark?
End: 2026-03-24T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$7.86M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Vol

$7.86M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $7.86M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.86M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Poly	94%
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Poly	5%
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Poly	2%
Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Poly	0%
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Poly	0%
Will Lars Boje Mathiesen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Poly	0%
Will Inger Støjberg be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Poly	0%
Will Martin Lidegaard be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Poly	0%
Will Pia Olsen Dyhr be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Poly	0%
Will Pelle Dragsted be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Poly	0%
Will Mona Juul be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$7.86M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, October 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Prime Minister of Denmark?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 24, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as P"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.86M
* **Total Liquidity:** $220.7K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 35.61)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 24, 2026): Vol $2.08M
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Lars Boje Mathiesen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 24, 2026): Vol $95.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 24, 2026): Vol $688.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Inger Støjberg be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 24, 2026): Vol $45.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Martin Lidegaard be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 24, 2026): Vol $50.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 24, 2026): Vol $1.29M
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 24, 2026): Vol $1.18M
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Pia Olsen Dyhr be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 24, 2026): Vol $124.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 24, 2026): Vol $2.09M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Pelle Dragsted be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 24, 2026): Vol $73.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Mona Juul be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 24, 2026): Vol $135.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics