GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner

Name: 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner
End: 2026-09-14T15:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$79.50K

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Markets

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2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner

Vol

$79.50K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $79.50K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $79.50K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

24 markets tracked

Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(24)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	78%
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	21%
Will the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Election not take place by September 14, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will BARMM Grand Coalition (BGC) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	1%
Will League of Bangsamoro Islamic Advocate Associate (LBIAA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	0%
Will Bangsamoro Empowerment and Social Transformation Party (BEST PARTY) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	0%
Will Progresibong Bangsamoro Party (PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	0%
Will Tawi-Tawi Provincial Women’s Council Inc. (TPWC) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	0%
Will The Royal House of the Sultanate of Marawi (ROHOSUMA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	0%
Will Royal Sultanate of Langkong (RSL) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	0%
Will Dungon Traditional Leaders Organization (DTLO) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	0%
Will Alliance of Bangsamoro Tri-People’s Party (ABOT) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	0%
Will Bangsamoro Party (BAPA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	0%
Will Indigenous, Settlers, Sama and Minorities Alliance Party (ISAMA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	0%
Will Mahardika Party (MAHARDIKA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	0%
Will Moro Ako Party (MORO AKO) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	0%
Will People’s Consultative (Mushawara) Party (MUSHAWARA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	0%
Will Partido Bangon Bangsamoro (PBB) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	0%
Will Bangsamoro Peoples’ Democratic Party (RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	0%
Will Christians Settler for Peace (C4P) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	0%
Will Royal Sultanate of Eastern Unayan (RSEU) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	0%
Will Datu Sa Kabanalan (Matampay) sa Magindanaw Royal Descendants Association (THE ROYALS) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	0%
Will The Royal House of the Sultanate of Pagayawan (ROHOSUPA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	0%
Will Iranun Sultanate’s League of the Philippines, Inc. (ISLPI) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

78%

Top Probability

$79.50K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Sep 14, 2026 (9 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.

If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.

If t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $79.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $307.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.26)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Alliance of Bangsamoro Tri-People’s Party (ABOT) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $671
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Bangsamoro Party (BAPA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $756
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Bangsamoro Empowerment and Social Transformation Party (BEST PARTY) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $724
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $14.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 78.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will BARMM Grand Coalition (BGC) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Indigenous, Settlers, Sama and Minorities Alliance Party (ISAMA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $662
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Mahardika Party (MAHARDIKA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $707
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Moro Ako Party (MORO AKO) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $662
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will People’s Consultative (Mushawara) Party (MUSHAWARA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $701
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Partido Bangon Bangsamoro (PBB) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $596
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Progresibong Bangsamoro Party (PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $743
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Bangsamoro Peoples’ Democratic Party (RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $637
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $48.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Christians Settler for Peace (C4P) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $789
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Tawi-Tawi Provincial Women’s Council Inc. (TPWC) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $541
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will League of Bangsamoro Islamic Advocate Associate (LBIAA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $967
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Royal Sultanate of Eastern Unayan (RSEU) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $808
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Datu Sa Kabanalan (Matampay) sa Magindanaw Royal Descendants Association (THE ROYALS) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $627
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will The Royal House of the Sultanate of Marawi (ROHOSUMA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will The Royal House of the Sultanate of Pagayawan (ROHOSUPA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $642
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Royal Sultanate of Langkong (RSL) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $552
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Iranun Sultanate’s League of the Philippines, Inc. (ISLPI) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $673
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Dungon Traditional Leaders Organization (DTLO) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $738
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Election not take place by September 14, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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