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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Which continent will win the 2026 Fifa World Cup?

Name: Which continent will win the 2026 Fifa World Cup?
End: 2025-12-08T20:40:01.474Z

Total Volume

$1.94M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Which continent will win the 2026 Fifa World Cup?

Vol

$1.94M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.94M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.94M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Poly	73%
Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Poly	21%
Will Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Poly	3%
Will Asia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Poly	3%
Will North America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Poly	2%
Will Oceania win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

73%

Top Probability

$1.94M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://world

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, July 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which continent will win the 2026 Fifa World Cup?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 8, 2025 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.

For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://world

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.

For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.94M
* **Total Liquidity:** $308.8K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 6.27)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will North America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 29, 2026): Vol $202.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Asia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 29, 2026): Vol $227.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Oceania win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 29, 2026): Vol $242.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 29, 2026): Vol $113.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 29, 2026): Vol $965.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 29, 2026): Vol $185.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports