Name: Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF
End: 2026-01-28T20:00:00.000Z

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Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?	Poly	100%
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Poly	0%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 28, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, January 28, 2026 between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and Real Madrid CF.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 28, 2026
If Sport Lisboa e Benfica wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no mak"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.69M
* **Total Liquidity:** $965.0K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.90)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $1.51M
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $141.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $4.04M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

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Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF

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Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF

Markets (3)

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?

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Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?

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Discussion

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