Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Kamloops mayoral election winner?

Total Volume

$1.81K

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Kamloops mayoral election winner?

Vol

$1.81K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.81K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.81K

100%

Kalshi leads

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4 markets tracked

Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?	Kalshi	69%
Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?	Kalshi	22%
Will Ray Dhaliwal win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?	Kalshi	5%
Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

69%

Top Probability

$1.81K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

October 17, 2026 If X wins the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Kamloops mayoral election winner?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** October 17, 2026

If X wins the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Reid Hamer-Jackson wins the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ray Dhaliwal win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2027): Vol $704
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2027): Vol $31
  DATA: [Yes: 69.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Kamloops mayoral election winner?

Volume$1.81K

Markets4

4 of 4

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KALSHI

Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 69.0¢No 31.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

If Mike O'Reilly wins the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 21.5¢No 78.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

If Nelly Dever wins the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Ray Dhaliwal win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Ray Dhaliwal win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

If Ray Dhaliwal wins the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

If Reid Hamer-Jackson wins the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

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25¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Q_EUzS" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Kamloops mayoral election winner?"></iframe>

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Kamloops mayoral election winner?

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Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Kamloops mayoral election winner?

Markets (4)

Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

Will Ray Dhaliwal win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

Will Ray Dhaliwal win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

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Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Kamloops mayoral election winner?

Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

Will Ray Dhaliwal win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

Will Ray Dhaliwal win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

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