Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Dana White's Contender Series: Davi Cabral vs. Douglas da Lapa (Middleweight, Main Card)

Name: Dana White's Contender Series: Davi Cabral vs. Douglas da Lapa (Middleweight, Main Card)
End: 2026-10-14T03:59:59.999Z

Total Volume

$206.32

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Dana White's Contender Series: Davi Cabral vs. Douglas da Lapa (Middleweight, Main Card)

Vol

$206.32

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $206.32

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $206.32

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

19 markets tracked

Fight to Go the Distance?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(19)

Market	Platform	Price
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	51%
Will the fight be won by decision?	Poly	51%
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Poly	51%
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Poly	51%
Will Davi Cabral win in Round 1?	Poly	51%
Will Davi Cabral win in Round 2?	Poly	51%
Will Davi Cabral win in Round 3?	Poly	51%
Will Douglas da Lapa win in Round 1?	Poly	51%
Will Douglas da Lapa win in Round 2?	Poly	51%
Will Douglas da Lapa win in Round 3?	Poly	51%
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Poly	51%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will Davi Cabral win by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will Douglas da Lapa win by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	50%
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Dana White's Contender Series: Davi Cabral vs. Douglas da Lapa (Middleweight, Main Card)	Poly	33%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

51%

Top Probability

$206.32

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Davi Cabral" if Davi Cabral is officially declared the winner of the fight against Douglas da Lapa at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026. It will resolve to "Douglas da Lapa" if Douglas da Lapa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 27, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dana White's Contender Series: Davi Cabral vs. Douglas da Lapa (Middleweight, Main Card)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 14, 2026 (3 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Davi Cabral" if Davi Cabral is officially declared the winner of the fight against Douglas da Lapa at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026.

It will resolve to "Douglas da Lapa" if Douglas da Lapa is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 27, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Davi Cabral" if Davi Cabral is officially declared the winner of the fight against Douglas da Lapa at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026.

It will resolve to "Douglas da Lapa" if Douglas da Lapa is officially declared the wi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $206
* **Total Liquidity:** $9.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Dana White's Contender Series: Davi Cabral vs. Douglas da Lapa (Middleweight, Main Card)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $206
  DATA: [Davi Cabral: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [Douglas da Lapa: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Davi Cabral win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Douglas da Lapa win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the fight be won by decision?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the fight end before Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the fight end before Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Davi Cabral win in Round 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Davi Cabral win in Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Davi Cabral win in Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Douglas da Lapa win in Round 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Douglas da Lapa win in Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Douglas da Lapa win in Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the fight end in a decision or draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Dana White's Contender Series: Davi Cabral vs. Douglas da Lapa (Middleweight, Main Card)

Volume$206.32

Markets19

19 of 19

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Fight to Go the Distance?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Fight to Go the Distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Davi Cabral and Douglas da Lapa at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by decision?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will the fight be won by decision?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Davi Cabral and Douglas da Lapa at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026, is won by decision, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the

POLYMARKET

Will the fight end before Round 2?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will the fight end before Round 2?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Davi Cabral and Douglas da Lapa at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026, officially ends before Round 2 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or co

POLYMARKET

Will the fight end before Round 3?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will the fight end before Round 3?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Davi Cabral and Douglas da Lapa at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026, officially ends before Round 3 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or co

POLYMARKET

Will Davi Cabral win in Round 1?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will Davi Cabral win in Round 1?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Davi Cabral defeats Douglas da Lapa at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 1, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will

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Oct 14, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/QadgBM" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Dana White's Contender Series: Davi Cabral vs. Douglas da Lapa (Middleweight, Main Card)"></iframe>

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Dana White's Contender Series: Davi Cabral vs. Douglas da Lapa (Middleweight, Main Card)

Dana White's Contender Series: Davi Cabral vs. Douglas da Lapa (Middleweight, Main Card)

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Fight to Go the Distance?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Dana White's Contender Series: Davi Cabral vs. Douglas da Lapa (Middleweight, Main Card)

Markets (19)

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will Davi Cabral win in Round 1?

Will Davi Cabral win in Round 1?

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Fight to Go the Distance?

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Dana White's Contender Series: Davi Cabral vs. Douglas da Lapa (Middleweight, Main Card)

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will Davi Cabral win in Round 1?

Will Davi Cabral win in Round 1?

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Discussion

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