Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Contender Series: William Rentz vs Luis Francischinelli

Total Volume

$1.84K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Contender Series: William Rentz vs Luis Francischinelli

Vol

$1.84K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.84K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.84K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Luis Francischinelli wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Luis Francischinelli wins	Kalshi	70%
William Rentz wins	Kalshi	30%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

70%

Top Probability

$1.84K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Rentz vs Francischinelli (Oct 13) If X wins the William Rentz vs Luis Francischinelli professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resoluti

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Contender Series: William Rentz vs Luis Francischinelli
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Rentz vs Francischinelli (Oct 13)

If X wins the William Rentz vs Luis Francischinelli professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resoluti

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If William Rentz  wins the William Rentz vs Luis Francischinelli professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will n"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. William Rentz wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Luis Francischinelli wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $386
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Contender Series: William Rentz vs Luis Francischinelli

Volume$1.84K

Markets2

2 of 2

Sort:

KALSHI

Luis Francischinelli wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 69.5¢No 30.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Luis Francischinelli wins

If Luis Francischinelli wins the William Rentz vs Luis Francischinelli professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration

KALSHI

William Rentz wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 30.0¢No 70.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

William Rentz wins

If William Rentz wins the William Rentz vs Luis Francischinelli professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will n

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/QgOAlo" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Contender Series: William Rentz vs Luis Francischinelli"></iframe>

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Contender Series: William Rentz vs Luis Francischinelli

Contender Series: William Rentz vs Luis Francischinelli

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Luis Francischinelli wins

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Events (1)

Contender Series: William Rentz vs Luis Francischinelli

Markets (2)

Luis Francischinelli wins

Luis Francischinelli wins

William Rentz wins

William Rentz wins

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Luis Francischinelli wins

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Contender Series: William Rentz vs Luis Francischinelli

Luis Francischinelli wins

Luis Francischinelli wins

William Rentz wins

William Rentz wins

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