2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

Name: 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$102.68K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $102.68K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $102.68K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?	Poly	14%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

14%

Top Probability

$102.68K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Container shipping through the Suez Canal has been severely impacted since late 2023 due to security concerns in the Red Sea related to Houthi attacks, with major carriers rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope. Prior to these concerns, the Suez Canal Authority (SCA) reported 5,847 container ship transits for the full year of 2023, or about 2,923 container ship transits per half-year. Following the Houthi attacks, the number of container ships transiting the canal has dropped significantly, with

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (166 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** Container shipping through the Suez Canal has been severely impacted since late 2023 due to security concerns in the Red Sea related to Houthi attacks, with major carriers rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope. Prior to these concerns, the Suez Canal Authority (SCA) reported 5,847 container ship transits for the full year of 2023, or about 2,923 container ship transits per half-year. Following the Houthi attacks, the number of container ships transiting the canal has dropped significantly, with

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $102.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.7K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 28.10)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $102.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Next Market Closes

165d 15h remaining

Jun 30, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

14¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/QicTxu" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)