Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

When will Fernando Mendoza start his first Pro Football game?

Total Volume

$1.93K

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When will Fernando Mendoza start his first Pro Football game?

Vol

$1.93K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.93K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.93K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 15 to Week 18

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 15 to Week 18	Kalshi	44%
Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 6	Kalshi	13%
Fernando Mendoza first start: Does not start in the regular season	Kalshi	13%
Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 11 to Week 14	Kalshi	11%
Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 7 to Week 8	Kalshi	7%
Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 9 to Week 10	Kalshi	6%
Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 5	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

44%

Top Probability

$1.93K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

Fernando Mendoza (2026-27) If Fernando Mendoza is listed as the starting quarterback for the first time according to the official depth chart published by his current team between Week X and Week Y in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. The starting quarterback is determined by the official depth chart published by the team for the specified week. If no official depth chart is available, the designation comes from official team communications, injury report

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Fernando Mendoza start his first Pro Football game?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Fernando Mendoza (2026-27)

If Fernando Mendoza is listed as the starting quarterback for the first time according to the official depth chart published by his current team between Week X and Week Y in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. The starting quarterback is determined by the official depth chart published by the team for the specified week. If no official depth chart is available, the designation comes from official team communications, injury report

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Fernando Mendoza is listed as the starting quarterback for the first time according to the official depth chart published by his current team between Week 9 and Week 10 in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The starting quarterback is determ"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 9 to Week 10
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 19, 2027): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 7 to Week 8
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 19, 2027): Vol $24
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 6
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 19, 2027): Vol $251
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 5
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 19, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 15 to Week 18
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 19, 2027): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 11 to Week 14
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 19, 2027): Vol $171
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Fernando Mendoza first start: Does not start in the regular season
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 19, 2027): Vol $266
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

When will Fernando Mendoza start his first Pro Football game?

Volume$1.93K

Markets7

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KALSHI

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 15 to Week 18

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.0¢No 56.0¢

KALSHIOther

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 15 to Week 18

If Fernando Mendoza is listed as the starting quarterback for the first time according to the official depth chart published by his current team between Week 15 and Week 18 in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The starting quarterback is deter

KALSHI

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 6

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.0¢No 87.0¢

KALSHIOther

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 6

If Fernando Mendoza is listed as the starting quarterback for the first time according to the official depth chart published by his current team in Week 6 in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The starting quarterback is determined by the offic

KALSHI

Fernando Mendoza first start: Does not start in the regular season

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHISports

Fernando Mendoza first start: Does not start in the regular season

If Fernando Mendoza is not listed as the starting quarterback according to the official depth chart published by his current team for any week in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The starting quarterback is determined by the official depth ch

KALSHI

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 11 to Week 14

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

KALSHIOther

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 11 to Week 14

If Fernando Mendoza is listed as the starting quarterback for the first time according to the official depth chart published by his current team between Week 11 and Week 14 in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The starting quarterback is deter

KALSHI

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 7 to Week 8

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

KALSHIOther

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 7 to Week 8

If Fernando Mendoza is listed as the starting quarterback for the first time according to the official depth chart published by his current team between Week 7 and Week 8 in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The starting quarterback is determi

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13¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/QlIy4Y" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="When will Fernando Mendoza start his first Pro Football game?"></iframe>

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When will Fernando Mendoza start his first Pro Football game?

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Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 15 to Week 18

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Educational Context

Events (1)

When will Fernando Mendoza start his first Pro Football game?

Markets (7)

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 15 to Week 18

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 15 to Week 18

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 6

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 6

Fernando Mendoza first start: Does not start in the regular season

Fernando Mendoza first start: Does not start in the regular season

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 11 to Week 14

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 11 to Week 14

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 7 to Week 8

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 7 to Week 8

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Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 15 to Week 18

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will Fernando Mendoza start his first Pro Football game?

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 15 to Week 18

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 15 to Week 18

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 6

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 6

Fernando Mendoza first start: Does not start in the regular season

Fernando Mendoza first start: Does not start in the regular season

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 11 to Week 14

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 11 to Week 14

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 7 to Week 8

Fernando Mendoza first start: Week 7 to Week 8

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