GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next Regional Board Chair of Gotland?

Name: Next Regional Board Chair of Gotland?
End: 2026-09-13T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$6.78K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next Regional Board Chair of Gotland?

Vol

$6.78K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $6.78K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.78K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Meit Fohlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Meit Fohlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?	Poly	95%
Will Sara Unger be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?	Poly	2%
Will Rolf Öström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?	Poly	0%
Will Mariette Nicander be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?	Poly	0%
Will Saga Carlgren be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

95%

Top Probability

$6.78K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Regional elections to elect the Regional Council of Region Gotland, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Gotland following the 2026 Swedish regional elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolut

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Regional Board Chair of Gotland?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Sep 13, 2026 (9 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** Regional elections to elect the Regional Council of Region Gotland, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Gotland following the 2026 Swedish regional elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolut

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Regional elections to elect the Regional Council of Region Gotland, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Gotland following the 2026 Swedish regional electi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $63.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.11)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Meit Fohlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $3.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Rolf Öström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $784
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Mariette Nicander be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $604
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Saga Carlgren be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $591
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Sara Unger be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $891
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics