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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Name: Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$329.40K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Vol

$329.40K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $329.40K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $329.40K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

23 markets tracked

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	Poly	93%
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?	Poly	91%
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?	Poly	79%
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?	Poly	57%
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	Poly	55%
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?	Poly	52%
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?	Poly	45%
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?	Poly	42%
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?	Poly	37%
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?	Poly	34%
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?	Poly	31%
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?	Poly	28%
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?	Poly	25%
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?	Poly	24%
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?	Poly	23%
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?	Poly	16%
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?	Poly	14%
Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026?	Poly	13%
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?	Poly	12%
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	Poly	11%
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?	Poly	10%
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?	Poly	6%
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?	Poly	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

93%

Top Probability

$329.40K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution so

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, July 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (170 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution so

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or ma"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $275.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $54.4K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $625
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 78.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $21.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $257
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $10.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $4.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $12.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $78.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.1% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $60.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.7% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $29.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $7.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $767
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics