Name: Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
End: 2028-01-01T05:00:00.000Z

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Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ ? | PredictPedia

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $6.27K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.27K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Ledger IPO closing market cap above $1B?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $1B?	Poly	76%
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $2B?	Poly	66%
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B?	Poly	38%
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $6B?	Poly	31%
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B?	Poly	30%
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B?	Poly	27%
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B?	Poly	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

76%

Top Probability

$6.27K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Ledger's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing p

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2028 (678 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Ledger's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing p

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Ledger's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market ca"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.8K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.66)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Ledger IPO closing market cap above $1B?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 76.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Ledger IPO closing market cap above $2B?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 65.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $402
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $504
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $722
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Ledger IPO closing market cap above $6B?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $209
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $280
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

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## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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