Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?

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$4.71K

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How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?

Vol

$4.71K

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Kalshi

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6 markets tracked

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 1 during his second term as President?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 1 during his second term as President?	Kalshi	64%
Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 2 during his second term as President?	Kalshi	45%
Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 3 during his second term as President?	Kalshi	26%
Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 4 during his second term as President?	Kalshi	11%
Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 5 during his second term as President?	Kalshi	8%
Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 10 during his second term as President?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

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64%

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$4.71K

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About This Event

Before Jan 20, 2029 If the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts is at least X during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes. Each article of impeachment against Donald Trump that the House of Representatives adopts counts as one, whether it is adopted alone, together with other articles in one resolution, or in a separate impeachment. Does NOT count: An article that is introduced, referred to committee, table

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 20, 2029

If the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts is at least X during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes. Each article of impeachment against Donald Trump that the House of Representatives adopts counts as one, whether it is adopted alone, together with other articles in one resolution, or in a separate impeachment. Does NOT count: An article that is introduced, referred to committee, table

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts is at least 5 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each article of impeachment against Donald Trump that the House of Representatives adopts c"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 5 during his second term as President?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 21, 2029): Vol $300
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 4 during his second term as President?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 21, 2029): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 3 during his second term as President?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 21, 2029): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 2 during his second term as President?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 21, 2029): Vol $274
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 10 during his second term as President?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 21, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 1 during his second term as President?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 21, 2029): Vol $448
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?

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KALSHI

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 1 during his second term as President?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 64.0¢No 36.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 1 during his second term as President?

If the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts is at least 1 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each article of impeachment against Donald Trump that the House of Representatives adopts c

KALSHI

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 2 during his second term as President?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 45.5¢No 54.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 2 during his second term as President?

If the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts is at least 2 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each article of impeachment against Donald Trump that the House of Representatives adopts c

KALSHI

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 3 during his second term as President?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 3 during his second term as President?

If the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts is at least 3 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each article of impeachment against Donald Trump that the House of Representatives adopts c

KALSHI

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 4 during his second term as President?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 4 during his second term as President?

If the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts is at least 4 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each article of impeachment against Donald Trump that the House of Representatives adopts c

KALSHI

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 5 during his second term as President?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 5 during his second term as President?

If the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts is at least 5 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each article of impeachment against Donald Trump that the House of Representatives adopts c

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How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?

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Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 1 during his second term as President?

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Events (1)

How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?

Markets (6)

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 1 during his second term as President?

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 1 during his second term as President?

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 2 during his second term as President?

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 2 during his second term as President?

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 3 during his second term as President?

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 3 during his second term as President?

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 4 during his second term as President?

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 4 during his second term as President?

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 5 during his second term as President?

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 5 during his second term as President?

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Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 1 during his second term as President?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 1 during his second term as President?

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 1 during his second term as President?

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 2 during his second term as President?

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 2 during his second term as President?

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 3 during his second term as President?

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 3 during his second term as President?

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 4 during his second term as President?

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 4 during his second term as President?

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 5 during his second term as President?

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 5 during his second term as President?

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