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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
Vol

PM $29.2K

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Events

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Snapshot from

As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 5.2% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes5.2%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $29.2K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases. Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?

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K 4.8K contracts
What will JD Vance say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Economy / Economic)Yes 66.5%
What will JD Vance say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Trump (3+ times))Yes 61.5%
What will JD Vance say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Afford / Affordable / Affordability)Yes 60.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
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What will Sam Altman say during NYT DealBook Summit?

K 2.0K contracts
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Safe / Safer / Safety)Yes 87.5%
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Compute)Yes 62%
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Astra)Yes 54.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
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What will Satya Nadella say during NYT DealBook Summit?

K 407.7 contracts
What will Satya Nadella say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Agent / Agentic)Yes 82.5%
What will Satya Nadella say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Copilot)Yes 79%
What will Satya Nadella say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Compute)Yes 70%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
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What will Mark Carney say during NYT DealBook Summit?

K 845.42 contracts
What will Mark Carney say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 74%
What will Mark Carney say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Tariff)Yes 68%
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+14 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
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PM $159.3K · K 345.3K contracts

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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
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+27 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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