Name: Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs NoLogoJustMMR (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
End: 2026-01-28T18:00:00.000Z

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Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs NoLogoJustMMR (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | PredictPedia

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19 markets tracked

Game Handicap: Pipsqueak+4 (-1.5) vs NoLogoJustMMR (+1.5)

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Single-Platform Markets(19)

Market	Platform	Price
Game Handicap: Pipsqueak+4 (-1.5) vs NoLogoJustMMR (+1.5)	Poly	100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
First Blood in Game 3?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 3?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 3?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 3?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 3?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?	Poly	49%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2:  Pipsqueak+4 vs NoLogoJustMMR (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 28, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 match between  Pipsqueak+4 and NoLogoJustMMR in the PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for January 28 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to " Pipsqueak+4" if  Pipsqueak+4 win the match against NoLogoJustMMR.

This market will resolve to "NoLogoJustMMR" if NoLogoJustMMR win the match against  Pipsqueak+4.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Dota 2 match between  Pipsqueak+4 and NoLogoJustMMR in the PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for January 28 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to " Pipsqueak+4" if  Pipsqueak+4 wins 2 or more games than NoLogoJustMMR in this match.

Oth"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $910
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.06)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Game Handicap:  Pipsqueak+4 (-1.5) vs NoLogoJustMMR (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [ Pipsqueak+4: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [NoLogoJustMMR: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $61
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $32
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. First Blood in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [ Pipsqueak+4: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [NoLogoJustMMR: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

53¢

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Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs NoLogoJustMMR (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs NoLogoJustMMR (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Game Handicap: Pipsqueak+4 (-1.5) vs NoLogoJustMMR (+1.5)

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs NoLogoJustMMR (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Markets (19)

Game Handicap: Pipsqueak+4 (-1.5) vs NoLogoJustMMR (+1.5)

Game Handicap: Pipsqueak+4 (-1.5) vs NoLogoJustMMR (+1.5)

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?

Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Game Handicap: Pipsqueak+4 (-1.5) vs NoLogoJustMMR (+1.5)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs NoLogoJustMMR (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Game Handicap: Pipsqueak+4 (-1.5) vs NoLogoJustMMR (+1.5)

Game Handicap: Pipsqueak+4 (-1.5) vs NoLogoJustMMR (+1.5)

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?

Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?

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Discussion

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