Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Will SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map?

Total Volume

$25.73K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Will SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map?

Vol

$25.73K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $25.73K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $25.73K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$25.73K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Nov 3, 2026 If the U.S. Supreme Court issues an order permitting Missouri's HB 1 congressional map to govern the November 3, 2026 general election in any U.S. Supreme Court proceeding arising from People Not Politicians and Richard von Glahn v. Denny Hoskins, Missouri Supreme Court No. SC101805 before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The ruling must: Be issued by the U.S. Supreme Court in any U.S. Supreme Court proceeding arising from People Not Politicians and Richard von G

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Nov 3, 2026

If the U.S. Supreme Court issues an order permitting Missouri's HB 1 congressional map to govern the November 3, 2026 general election in any U.S. Supreme Court proceeding arising from People Not Politicians and Richard von Glahn v. Denny Hoskins, Missouri Supreme Court No. SC101805 before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The ruling must:
Be issued by the U.S. Supreme Court in any U.S. Supreme Court proceeding arising from People Not Politicians and Richard von G

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $25.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2026): Vol $25.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

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## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics