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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?
Vol

PM $701.94

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Events

1

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Markets

7

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $701.94

Reported volume · provider units

7

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between October 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data. If no earthquake data for this market's timeframe has been published on the resolution source by 48 hours after the market's closing time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketClimate
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?

PM $1.2K
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 30%
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 13.5%
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 11.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 12 - October 18?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 12 - October 18?

PM $11.8K
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 68.9%
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 19%
Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 4.8%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 12 - October 18?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 12 - October 18?

PM $26.2K
Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 30%
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 22.5%
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 15.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 19?

Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 19?

PM $7.2K
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 19?Yes 44.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 19?Yes 29.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 19?Yes 20%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Helsinki on October 19?

Highest temperature in Helsinki on October 19?

PM $5.6K
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 19?Yes 43.5%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 19?Yes 30%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 19?Yes 20.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Moscow on October 19?

Highest temperature in Moscow on October 19?

PM $1.5K
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 19?Yes 42.5%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 19?Yes 37%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 19?Yes 12.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

0

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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