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Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Yes 4.0%

Vol$9

SnapshotOct 18, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 4.0%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveClimate

Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Part of: How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?

YesYes Price

4.0¢

VolTotal Volume

Outcomes

Ends

Oct 26, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

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Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Yes

4.0¢

Vol

Outcomes

Trade

Yes4.0¢

No96.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 4.0%. Snapshot Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between October 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data. If no earthquake data for this market's timeframe has been published on the resolution source by 48 hours after the market's closing time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

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Resolution Info