The Game Awards: Best Audio Design
PM $39.6K · K 13.4K contracts
2
34
The Game Awards: Best Audio Design
PM $39.6K · K 13.4K contracts
2
34
Polymarket vs Kalshi
Snapshot from
As of Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, Grand Theft Auto VI is priced at 56% on Polymarket and 57% on Kalshi.
| Outcome (Yes price) | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Theft Auto VISame question, fine print differs | 56% | 57% | 1.1 pts |
| SarosSame question, fine print differs | 6.7% | 10% | 3.4 pts |
| Forza Horizon 6Same question, fine print differs | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Silent Hill: TownfallSame question, fine print differs | 8.3% | 6% | 2.3 pts |
| Resident Evil RequiemSame question, fine print differs | 6.5% | 8% | 1.5 pts |
| Control ResonantSame question, fine print differs | 6.3% | 5.5% | 0.8 pts |
| Phantom Blade ZeroSame question, fine print differs | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6 pts |
| PragmataSame question, fine print differs | 3.4% | 3.5% | 0.1 pts |
Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $39.6K · K 13.4K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
34
Saved contracts
12
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Audio Design. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Audio Design when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-20T06:00:05.944Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers the Polymarket event "The Game Awards: Best Audio Design." The rules state that the market "will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Audio Design" [1]. Each game has its own yes-or-no contract, so a reader is comparing separate contracts within one event.
The rules include several conditions that affect how each contract settles. A game not officially nominated "when the 2026 nominees are announced" resolves to "No" [1]. A tie is settled by "the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order" [1]. If "no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET," the market resolves to "Other" [1].
Listed close times differ. Most contracts show an end date of 2026-12-10T23:59:00.000Z, while Pragmata and Mina the Hollower show 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z [1]. The source says the 2026 ceremony is "currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026" [1]. The later listed time matches the December 31 deadline in the rules, so a reader should check each contract's close time rather than assume they are identical.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-20T06:00:05.944Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-20T07:50:35.294Z [1]. These prices describe that observation only. They are not live quotes, executable prices, or verified probabilities.
The sample is partial. The provider event has 20 markets, and 12 are included [1]. Included markets were chosen by highest Yes price, then volume. The omitted eight are not shown, so this snapshot does not reveal their prices and should not be read as the complete field.
Among the included contracts, the highest Yes price is 0.4215 for Grand Theft Auto VI, followed by 0.135 for Forza Horizon 6 [1]. The lowest included Yes price is 0.0125 for Crimson Desert [1]. These are separate binary contracts. Their prices should not be averaged or combined into a single ranking, and a difference in price does not by itself indicate an opportunity.
Volume is not evidence of liquidity or the number of traders, and this evidence does not explain why any price is where it is.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the result of the award, any news after the observation, or whether any nominee list has been announced beyond what the rules describe. It also does not show the trading depth behind each price. Readers should confirm current rules and prices directly from the provider before relying on any figure.
References
- Polymarket: The Game Awards: Best Audio Design. Provider data observed 2026-10-20T06:00:05.944Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 20, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia contract is tied to The Game Awards: Best Audio Design category for 2026. Polymarket describes the event as recognizing achievement in the video game industry, and it states that the 2026 show is currently scheduled for December 10, 2026 [1]. Each market in the event asks whether one named game will win this category. The rules say the market resolves according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Audio Design [1]. The rules set several outcomes. If a game is not officially nominated for the category when the 2026 nominees are announced, its corresponding market resolves to "No" [1]. If there is a tie for the winner, the market resolves in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order [1]. If no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The rules list the Game Awards website and the live broadcast of the ceremony as the primary resolution sources, and they allow a consensus of credible reporting to be used as well [1]. The event's listed end time is 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z [1], which matches the December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET deadline. The evidence does not show whether nominees for this category have been announced, so it does not establish which games are nominated. The price shown for each market is a snapshot from the provider's observation time. It is not an executable quote or a verified probability, and a difference between prices on related contracts is not by itself an opportunity to trade.
Historical Context
The Game Awards 2025 honored the best video games of 2025. It was held with a live audience at the Peacock Theater in Los Angeles on December 11, 2025, and was live streamed across online platforms globally [3]. This is a historical account of that earlier show, not a report on the 2026 ceremony. Separately, the Game Audio Network Guild Awards is a different award show for video game audio, including score, voice acting, and sound effects. It began in 2004 and is held annually during the Game Developers Conference in San Francisco [2]. It is not the awards body named in this contract.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which game the official Game Awards names as the winner of Best Audio Design at the 2026 ceremony [1]. Because each market names a single game, its outcome depends on that game's result in this one category and on the rules for nominations, ties, and the deadline [1]. Anyone reading the market should check those rules, since a game that is not nominated resolves to "No" and an unresolved year resolves to "Other" [1]. The winner-based design also means that the category result, not overall game quality or sales, is what the contract tracks [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-20 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What event does this contract cover?
It covers The Game Awards: Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards. The 2026 show is currently scheduled for December 10, 2026 [1].
What happens if a game is not nominated?
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Audio Design when the nominees are announced, its corresponding market resolves to "No" [1].
How is a tie handled?
In case of a tie for the winner, the market resolves in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order [1].
What if no winner is declared by the deadline?
If no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1].
Where would the result come from?
The primary resolution source is official information from The Game Awards, including its website and the live broadcast. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Critics Choice Awards: Best Production Design
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Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Costume Design
K 12.4K contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
3
Same-question pairs
12
Largest saved gap: 3.4 percentage points.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
