Name: Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Cruz Azul
End: 2026-02-07T23:00:00.000Z

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Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Cruz Azul | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-02-07?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-02-07?	Poly	48%
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?	Poly	48%
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-02-07?	Poly	48%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Cruz Azul
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 7, 2026 (23 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Saturday, February 7, 2026 between Deportivo Toluca FC and CF Cruz Azul.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 7, 2026
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $8
* **Total Liquidity:** $296
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.03)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-02-07?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-02-07?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

22d 10h remaining

Feb 07, 2026 11:00 PM

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Average Yes Price

48¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/REfnkf" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Cruz Azul"></iframe>

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Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Cruz Azul

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Cruz Azul

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Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-02-07?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Cruz Azul

Markets (3)

Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-02-07?

Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-02-07?

Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?

Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-02-07?

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-02-07?

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Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-02-07?

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Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Cruz Azul

Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-02-07?

Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-02-07?

Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?

Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-02-07?

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-02-07?

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