Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030? | PredictPedia

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GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHITransportation

Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?

Total Volume

$4.69K

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Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $4.69K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.69K

100%

Kalshi leads

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1 market tracked

When will Karl Bushby reach his home of Hull, England from his walk around the world before 2030?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
When will Karl Bushby reach his home of Hull, England from his walk around the world before 2030?	Kalshi	91%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

91%

Top Probability

$4.69K

Volume

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About This Event

Before 2030 If Karl Bushby reaches his home of Hull, England from his walk around the world before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, March 1, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?
**Category:** Transportation | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2030

If Karl Bushby reaches his home of Hull, England from his walk around the world before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Karl Bushby reaches his home of Hull, England from his walk around the world before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. When will Karl Bushby reach his home of Hull, England from his walk around the world before 2030?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2030): Vol $4.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

91¢

Kalshi

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Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?

Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?

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When will Karl Bushby reach his home of Hull, England from his walk around the world before 2030?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)