Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. New Haven Chargers
Total Volume
$31.50K
Events
1
Markets
1
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. New Haven Chargers
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $31.50K
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $31.50K
100%
Polymarket leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. New Haven Chargers
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 0% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
0%
Top Probability
$31.50K
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
This event is for the CBB game between Le Moyne Dolphins and New Haven Chargers on February 28 at 1:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
What Prediction Markets Are Forecasting
Prediction markets currently give the Le Moyne Dolphins a roughly 3 in 4 chance to win their college basketball game against the New Haven Chargers. This is a strong but not overwhelming level of confidence from traders. It suggests the collective view is that Le Moyne is the clear favorite, but an upset by New Haven is still a real possibility.
Why the Market Sees It This Way
The odds lean heavily on recent team performance and standings. Le Moyne entered this game with a strong conference record, while New Haven has struggled this season. The game is also at Le Moyne’s home court, which often provides a measurable advantage in college basketball. Historically, matchups between these two teams have often been decided by which squad is having the better season, and this year that clearly favors the Dolphins.
Key Dates and Events to Watch
The main event is the game itself, scheduled for February 28 at 1:00 PM ET. The only development that could shift the prediction now is a last-minute announcement about a key player's injury or availability that isn't already public knowledge. Since the game tips off soon, the market will resolve quickly based on the final score.
How Reliable Are These Predictions?
For regular-season college basketball games, prediction markets are generally quite accurate. They efficiently combine public information like win-loss records, injuries, and home-court advantage. The main limitation here is the relatively small amount of money wagered (about $31,000), which can sometimes make the odds more volatile to new information. However, for a straightforward game between two known teams, the market's implied probability is typically a solid indicator of the actual odds.
Current Market Outlook
The Polymarket contract for the Le Moyne Dolphins vs. New Haven Chargers men's basketball game shows the Dolphins priced at 75 cents, implying a 75% probability they win. The Chargers are priced at 25 cents, a 25% win probability. This lopsided pricing indicates a strong market consensus favoring Le Moyne. With only $31,000 in total volume, liquidity is thin, meaning even moderate-sized trades could shift these odds significantly.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
The primary factor is the teams' performance within the Northeast-10 Conference. Entering this matchup, Le Moyne holds a strong conference record and is competing for seeding in the upcoming conference tournament. New Haven has struggled throughout the season with a significantly weaker record. Historical head-to-head results this season likely inform this pricing, as Le Moyne won the previous meeting by a decisive margin. The market is effectively pricing in the established performance gap between a top-tier and a bottom-tier team in the same conference at this late stage of the season.
What Could Change These Odds
In a low-liquidity market like this, the odds are vulnerable to sharp moves based on last-minute information. Key catalysts include player availability, such as a star player for Le Moyne being ruled out due to injury or illness, which could cause the Dolphins' price to drop. Conversely, a major suspension or unexpected lineup change for New Haven could push Le Moyne's price even higher. The primary risk to the consensus is the inherent volatility of a single basketball game, where a poor shooting night for the favorite or an unusually hot performance from the underdog can override season-long trends.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.