GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next Premier of Quebec

Name: Next Premier of Quebec
End: 2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$303.61K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next Premier of Quebec

Vol

$303.61K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $303.61K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $303.61K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Poly	64%
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Poly	21%
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Poly	5%
Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Poly	0%
Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Poly	0%
Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Poly	0%
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

64%

Top Probability

$303.61K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this m

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Premier of Quebec
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 5, 2026 (30 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this m

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier fo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $303.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $164.6K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.84)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $61.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $65.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.7% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $18.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.4% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $36.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $20.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $49.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $52.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics