Cmil Marcel vs. Moulis Pavel
PM $0
1
5
Cmil Marcel vs. Moulis Pavel
PM $0
1
5
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
5
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the table tennis match between Cmil Marcel and Moulis Pavel in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for October 19 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cmil Marcel' if Cmil Marcel wins against Moulis Pavel. This market will resolve to 'Moulis Pavel' if Moulis Pavel wins against Cmil Marcel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved Polymarket event covers the table tennis match between Cmil Marcel and Moulis Pavel in the Setka Cup Czechia Men competition, which the source lists as scheduled for October 19 at 9:30AM ET [1]. The main match contract resolves to the player who wins. The source also sets out 50-50 outcomes for cancellation, a tie, a delay beyond 7 days without a winner, and a walkover [1]. If one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified after the match begins, the contract resolves to the player who advances [1].
The primary resolution source is "the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers." If those statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, "a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-26T13:30:00.000Z [1]. This is a provider field, not a record of when the match was played or when the contract resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z, and the saved evidence was retrieved at 2026-10-19T07:18:35.469Z [1]. These are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The saved event includes five markets. Two total games contracts, Over/Under 3.5 and Over/Under 4.5, each show Over at 0.505 and Under at 0.495 [1]. The match winner contract shows each player at 0.5 [1]. Two game handicap contracts, one for each player at -1.5, also show 0.5 for each outcome [1]. These markets have different wording and thresholds, so their prices should be read separately. They should not be averaged, combined, or treated as one estimate. A small gap between Over and Under does not indicate a meaningful lean on its own.
The source states that all saved markets for these events are included, with no partial sample flagged [1]. It also notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1].
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, and it does not show how many traders hold each position. Volume is not included in the interpretation here and does not measure liquidity. The evidence also does not include match results, official statistics, or any reporting after the snapshot. Because the saved snapshot predates the scheduled match time, it should not be read as a description of conditions now.
References
- Polymarket: Cmil Marcel vs. Moulis Pavel. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a prediction market on a table tennis match between Cmil Marcel and Moulis Pavel. The provider event describes the match as taking place in the Setka Cup Czechia Men competition, scheduled for October 19 at 9:30AM ET [1]. The main contract is a head-to-head market that resolves to 'Cmil Marcel' if Cmil Marcel wins, or to 'Moulis Pavel' if Moulis Pavel wins [1]. The saved event also lists a contract end time of 2026-10-26T13:30:00.000Z [1]. That date is a listed end time within the contract rules. It is not an announced match date, and it does not confirm when the match was played or finished. The contract rules set out several outcomes that differ from a simple win or loss. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner being determined, the market resolves to 50-50 [1]. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retired, defaulted, or was disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves to 50-50 [1]. The saved event includes five markets. Three are based on the match result or game handicaps, and two are total games markets with lines at 3.5 and 4.5 [1]. In the saved snapshot, the head-to-head outcomes are priced at 0.5 each, and the total games outcomes are priced at 0.505 for Over and 0.495 for Under [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they do not show how the market will move.
Why It Matters
The head-to-head contract measures which player is recorded as the winner of this specific match, using the rules described in the event [1]. The game handicap and total games contracts in the same event measure outcomes tied to the number of games played or the margin of games, so they track different aspects of the same match [1]. Because the rules define 50-50 outcomes for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, and walkovers, the contract's payout depends on these conditions as well as on the winner [1]. Readers should check the full rule text in the event before relying on how a particular outcome would resolve.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
How does the match contract resolve if the match is canceled?
If the match is canceled (not played at all), the market resolves to 50-50 [1].
What happens if one player retires during the match?
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
Which source determines the result?
The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics have not been published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.