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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Cmil Marcel vs. Fiser Petr

Cmil Marcel vs. Fiser Petr
Vol

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Events

1

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Markets

5

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

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Reported volume ยท provider units

5

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market refers to the table tennis match between Cmil Marcel and Fiser Petr in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for October 19 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cmil Marcel' if Cmil Marcel wins against Fiser Petr. This market will resolve to 'Fiser Petr' if Fiser Petr wins against Cmil Marcel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied rules cover a table tennis match between Cmil Marcel and Fiser Petr in the Setka Cup Czechia Men event, scheduled for October 19 at 11:30AM ET [1]. The match-winner contract "will resolve to 'Cmil Marcel' if Cmil Marcel wins against Fiser Petr," and the mirror rule applies to Fiser Petr [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-26T15:30:00.000Z [1].

The rules also set several non-standard outcomes. A cancelled match, a tie, or a delay "beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined" resolves 50-50, as does a walkover [1]. If a match begins but is not completed, a player who advances through retirement, default, or disqualification is the resolving outcome [1]. The primary source is "the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers," with a "consensus of credible reporting" as a fallback if final statistics are not published within 2 hours of the event's conclusion [1].

The evidence does not include full rule text for the total games and game handicap contracts, so their resolution terms cannot be described beyond their titles.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z, and the saved evidence was retrieved at 2026-10-19T07:15:13.089Z [1]. These prices describe that observation only and are not live quotes. The saved sample holds five Polymarket markets for this event, all included, with no partial sample flagged [1].

The match-winner contract shows Cmil Marcel at 0.275 and Fiser Petr at 0.725 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not verified probabilities, and they are not executable quotes.

The two total games contracts, Over/Under 3.5 and Over/Under 4.5, each show Over at 0.505 and Under at 0.495 [1]. The two game handicap contracts each show 0.5 for both sides [1]. The handicap titles name different players at -1.5, so they should be read as separate contracts and not combined.

Volume is not in the evidence, so no statement about liquidity or trader activity is possible.

What remains uncertain

The sample includes all saved markets for this event, but the source warns that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Any outcome not listed is unknown, not priced lower.

The snapshot does not show whether the match has started, been completed, or been changed. No result is in the evidence. Price differences across contracts or platforms do not establish an arbitrage opportunity, because the wording, settlement rules, and close times may differ.

References

  1. Polymarket: Cmil Marcel vs. Fiser Petr. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event for a table tennis match between Cmil Marcel and Fiser Petr, listed in the Setka Cup Czechia Men competition [1]. The source describes the match as scheduled for October 19 at 11:30AM ET [1]. The event's listed end time is 2026-10-26T15:30:00.000Z [1]. That date is the contract's end time under the listed rules, not a report that the match took place or ended on that date. The main market resolves to 'Cmil Marcel' if Cmil Marcel wins, and to 'Fiser Petr' if Fiser Petr wins [1]. The rules set out several exceptions. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner being determined, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retired, defaulted, or was disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. If a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically in a walkover, the market also resolves 50-50 [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers [1]. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1]. The saved provider event also includes related markets on total games and game handicaps, with the event's full sample of five markets included in this snapshot [1]. The event-level rules quoted here cover the match winner. The available evidence does not set out the detailed scoring or settlement rules for the total games and handicap markets, so this article does not describe how those are settled.

Why It Matters

The main contract measures which of the two named players wins the Setka Cup Czechia Men match between Cmil Marcel and Fiser Petr [1]. Its settlement depends on the match result and on the event's official statistics, with fallback reporting if those statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes [1]. Because cancellation, a tie, a delay beyond 7 days, or a walkover before the start all settle 50-50, a contract holder should read the exceptions closely before treating the outcome as a simple win or loss [1]. Prices shown for any market are snapshots from the provider and do not by themselves establish the likelihood of an outcome.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What wins the main Cmil Marcel vs. Fiser Petr market?

The market resolves to Cmil Marcel if he wins against Fiser Petr, and to Fiser Petr if he wins against Cmil Marcel [1].

What happens if the match is canceled or delayed?

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, the market resolves 50-50 [1].

What happens if a player retires during the match?

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].

What source is used to settle the market?

The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1].

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Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Reviewed equivalent pairs

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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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