Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Florida vs Texas: Spread

Total Volume

$3.99K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Florida vs Texas: Spread

Vol

$3.99K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $3.99K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.99K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

32 markets tracked

Texas wins by over 1.5 points

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(32)

Market	Platform	Price
Texas wins by over 1.5 points	Kalshi	73%
Texas wins by over 2.5 points	Kalshi	71%
Texas wins by over 4.5 points	Kalshi	66%
Texas wins by over 3.5 points	Kalshi	65%
Texas wins by over 5.5 points	Kalshi	62%
Texas wins by over 6.5 points	Kalshi	59%
Texas wins by over 8.5 points	Kalshi	54%
Texas wins by over 7.5 points	Kalshi	54%
Texas wins by over 9.5 points	Kalshi	54%
Texas wins by over 10.5 points	Kalshi	47%
Texas wins by over 11.5 points	Kalshi	45%
Texas wins by over 13.5 points	Kalshi	44%
Texas wins by over 14.5 points	Kalshi	41%
Texas wins by over 16.5 points	Kalshi	38%
Texas wins by over 17.5 points	Kalshi	36%
Texas wins by over 20.5 points	Kalshi	30%
Texas wins by over 21.5 points	Kalshi	27%
Florida wins by over 1.5 points	Kalshi	25%
Texas wins by over 23.5 points	Kalshi	24%
Florida wins by over 2.5 points	Kalshi	24%
Texas wins by over 24.5 points	Kalshi	22%
Florida wins by over 3.5 points	Kalshi	20%
Texas wins by over 27.5 points	Kalshi	18%
Florida wins by over 4.5 points	Kalshi	18%
Florida wins by over 5.5 points	Kalshi	16%
Florida wins by over 6.5 points	Kalshi	14%
Florida wins by over 9.5 points	Kalshi	13%
Florida wins by over 7.5 points	Kalshi	12%
Florida wins by over 14.5 points	Kalshi	12%
Florida wins by over 13.5 points	Kalshi	12%
Florida wins by over 11.5 points	Kalshi	12%
Florida wins by over 10.5 points	Kalshi	12%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

73%

Top Probability

$3.99K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

FLA vs TEX (Oct 17) If Texas wins by more than X points in the Florida vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Florida vs Texas: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** FLA vs TEX (Oct 17)

If Texas wins by more than X points in the Florida vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Texas wins by more than 8.5 points in the Florida vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and res"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Texas wins by over 8.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $453
  DATA: [Yes: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Texas wins by over 7.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Texas wins by over 6.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Texas wins by over 5.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Texas wins by over 4.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $107
  DATA: [Yes: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Texas wins by over 3.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 64.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Texas wins by over 2.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Texas wins by over 27.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Texas wins by over 24.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Texas wins by over 23.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Texas wins by over 21.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $311
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Texas wins by over 20.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Texas wins by over 1.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Texas wins by over 17.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Texas wins by over 16.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Texas wins by over 14.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Texas wins by over 13.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Texas wins by over 11.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $42
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Texas wins by over 10.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Texas wins by over 9.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Florida wins by over 7.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Florida wins by over 6.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Florida wins by over 5.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Florida wins by over 4.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Florida wins by over 3.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Florida wins by over 2.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Florida wins by over 1.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $128
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Florida wins by over 14.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Florida wins by over 13.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Florida wins by over 11.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Florida wins by over 10.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Florida wins by over 9.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Florida vs Texas: Spread

Volume$3.99K

Markets32

32 of 32

Sort:

KALSHI

Texas wins by over 1.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 72.5¢No 27.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Texas wins by over 1.5 points

If Texas wins by more than 1.5 points in the Florida vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and res

KALSHI

Texas wins by over 2.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.5¢No 29.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Texas wins by over 2.5 points

If Texas wins by more than 2.5 points in the Florida vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and res

KALSHI

Texas wins by over 4.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 66.0¢No 34.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Texas wins by over 4.5 points

If Texas wins by more than 4.5 points in the Florida vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and res

KALSHI

Texas wins by over 3.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 64.5¢No 35.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Texas wins by over 3.5 points

If Texas wins by more than 3.5 points in the Florida vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and res

KALSHI

Texas wins by over 5.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 61.5¢No 38.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Texas wins by over 5.5 points

If Texas wins by more than 5.5 points in the Florida vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and res

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35¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/RS39F_" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Florida vs Texas: Spread"></iframe>

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Florida vs Texas: Spread

Florida vs Texas: Spread

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Texas wins by over 1.5 points

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Florida vs Texas: Spread

Markets (32)

Texas wins by over 1.5 points

Texas wins by over 1.5 points

Texas wins by over 2.5 points

Texas wins by over 2.5 points

Texas wins by over 4.5 points

Texas wins by over 4.5 points

Texas wins by over 3.5 points

Texas wins by over 3.5 points

Texas wins by over 5.5 points

Texas wins by over 5.5 points

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Texas wins by over 1.5 points

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Florida vs Texas: Spread

Texas wins by over 1.5 points

Texas wins by over 1.5 points

Texas wins by over 2.5 points

Texas wins by over 2.5 points

Texas wins by over 4.5 points

Texas wins by over 4.5 points

Texas wins by over 3.5 points

Texas wins by over 3.5 points

Texas wins by over 5.5 points

Texas wins by over 5.5 points

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