Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

Bitcoin dominance on October 16?

Name: Bitcoin dominance on October 16?
End: 2026-10-16T16:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$87.32

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Bitcoin dominance on October 16?

Vol

$87.32

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $87.32

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $87.32

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Bitcoin dominance be between 59.00% and 60.00% on October 16?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Bitcoin dominance be between 59.00% and 60.00% on October 16?	Poly	51%
Will Bitcoin dominance be between 60.00% and 61.00% on October 16?	Poly	51%
Will Bitcoin dominance be between 61.00% and 62.00% on October 16?	Poly	50%
Will Bitcoin dominance be less than 58.00% on October 16?	Poly	49%
Will Bitcoin dominance be between 58.00% and 59.00% on October 16?	Poly	49%
Will Bitcoin dominance be greater than 62.00% on October 16?	Poly	44%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

51%

Top Probability

$87.32

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the "Close" value of the TradingView 1-minute candle for Bitcoin Dominance (CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D) closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the specified date. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". Values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. TradingView reports CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D to 2 decimal places. A 1-minute candle must

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bitcoin dominance on October 16?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 16, 2026 (5 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the "Close" value of the TradingView 1-minute candle for Bitcoin Dominance (CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D) closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the specified date. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes".

Values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. TradingView reports CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D to 2 decimal places. A 1-minute candle must 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the "Close" value of the TradingView 1-minute candle for Bitcoin Dominance (CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D) closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the specified date. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $87
* **Total Liquidity:** $20
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.43)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Bitcoin dominance be less than 58.00% on October 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $44
  DATA: [Yes: 49.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Bitcoin dominance be between 58.00% and 59.00% on October 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Bitcoin dominance be between 59.00% and 60.00% on October 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Bitcoin dominance be between 60.00% and 61.00% on October 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Bitcoin dominance be between 61.00% and 62.00% on October 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Bitcoin dominance be greater than 62.00% on October 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $44
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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