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October 2026: Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200

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October 2026: Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200

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11 markets tracked

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in October 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in October 2026?	Kalshi	89%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in October 2026?	Kalshi	86%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in October 2026?	Kalshi	80%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?	Kalshi	58%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.50 in October 2026?	Kalshi	57%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.00 in October 2026?	Kalshi	46%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.50 in October 2026?	Kalshi	39%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $5.00 in October 2026?	Kalshi	29%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $5.50 in October 2026?	Kalshi	28%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $6.00 in October 2026?	Kalshi	22%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $6.50 in October 2026?	Kalshi	21%

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89%

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About This Event

October 2026 If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above X in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in October 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The "USD" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** October 2026: Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** October 2026

If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above X in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in October 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The "USD" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $6.5 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in October 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.

"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $6.50 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $6.00 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $5.50 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $5.00 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.50 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.00 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.50 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

October 2026: Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200

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KALSHI

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in October 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.5¢No 11.5¢

KALSHITech

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in October 2026?

If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $1.5 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in October 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.

KALSHI

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in October 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.5¢No 14.5¢

KALSHITech

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in October 2026?

If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $2 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in October 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn. Re

KALSHI

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in October 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 79.5¢No 20.5¢

KALSHITech

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in October 2026?

If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $2.5 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in October 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.

KALSHI

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 58.0¢No 42.0¢

KALSHITech

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?

If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $3 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in October 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn. Re

KALSHI

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.50 in October 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢

KALSHITech

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.50 in October 2026?

If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $3.5 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in October 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.

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October 2026: Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200

October 2026: Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200

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Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in October 2026?

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Events (1)

October 2026: Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200

Markets (11)

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.50 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.50 in October 2026?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in October 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

October 2026: Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.50 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.50 in October 2026?

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