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Before Jun 11, 2026 If FIFA officially relocates at least one 2026 FIFA World Cup match from a U.S. venue to a venue outside the United States before ||date||, then the market resolves to Yes. A relocation requires FIFA to officially move a match from any U.S. venue (including all 50 states, DC, and U.S. territories) to a venue outside the United States. Official relocations are confirmed through FIFA's updated match schedule, official announcements, or the organizing committee's statements. Mo
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market topic asks whether FIFA will relocate at least one 2026 World Cup match from a stadium in the United States to a venue outside the country before June 11, 2026. The 2026 tournament is the first World Cup to be hosted by three nations: the United States, Canada, and Mexico. It will feature 48 teams playing 104 matches across 16 cities. The United States is scheduled to host 78 of those matches, including every game from the quarterfinals onward. The question of relocation stems from concerns about stadium readiness, security, or other logistical challenges that could force FIFA to move a scheduled U.S. game to another host country. Interest in this market is driven by the unprecedented scale of the tournament, the complex coordination required between three nations, and historical instances where FIFA has changed venues late in the planning process. Observers are monitoring construction timelines for new stadiums like the one in Kansas City and renovations at existing venues. The market resolves based on official FIFA announcements, updated match schedules, or statements from the official organizing committee confirming such a move.
FIFA has a history of relocating World Cup matches due to stadium delays, security concerns, or political issues. A direct precedent occurred in 2010 when FIFA moved the opening match of the U20 Women's World Cup from Augsburg to Bielefeld, Germany, just months before the tournament because the Augsburg stadium failed a readiness inspection. More recently, the 2022 World Cup in Qatar saw several late changes. In November 2022, FIFA moved the official fan festival for the final from Al Bidda Park to the Doha Corniche due to capacity concerns. While not a match relocation, this showed operational flexibility. The 2014 Brazil World Cup faced stadium construction crises, but FIFA did not relocate matches abroad. Instead, it imposed accelerated timelines and temporary solutions. The 2026 tournament's tri-national format is unique, but the 2002 World Cup co-hosted by South Korea and Japan offers some parallel. In 2001, there were discussions about moving matches from South Korea to Japan due to political tensions, but no relocations occurred. The scale of 2026, with 16 venues across three countries, creates more potential points of failure than any previous tournament.
A match relocation would have immediate financial consequences. Host cities have invested billions in stadium upgrades and infrastructure expecting economic returns from tourism. Kansas City, for example, projects over $400 million in direct visitor spending from its six matches. Losing even one game could impact local businesses and tax revenues. Politically, a relocation would be seen as an embarrassment for U.S. soccer organizers and could strain relations between the three host nations. It would raise questions about the United States' ability to deliver on its promises for future mega-events, including a potential 2034 World Cup bid. For FIFA, a relocation would signal a failure in its planning and inspection processes for its largest-ever tournament. It could trigger contractual penalties, insurance claims, and renegotiations with broadcasters and sponsors whose plans are tied to specific locations. For fans, relocations could invalidate tickets and travel arrangements, causing significant disruption and potential legal action against organizers.
As of early 2024, all 11 U.S. host stadiums are proceeding with renovation plans, but several face challenges. The Kansas City renovation project for Arrowhead Stadium only received final funding approval from the Jackson County legislature in April 2024, leaving a tight timeline. FIFA conducted its third round of technical inspections in late 2023 and early 2024. While FIFA has not issued public warnings about any specific U.S. venue, internal reports note that several stadiums are behind the ideal schedule. The next major milestone is the May 2025 deadline for all venues to be operational. The official match schedule, released in February 2023, has not been amended. No U.S. city or stadium has been formally placed on a 'watch list' by FIFA for potential relocation.
FIFA would relocate a match primarily for stadium unreadiness, such as failed safety inspections, construction delays, or infrastructure failures. Secondary reasons could include severe security threats, natural disasters, or political instability that makes a specific venue untenable. FIFA's primary concern is guaranteeing the match can be played safely under tournament conditions.
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City is often cited due to its late-starting $50 million renovation project and its status as one of the oldest stadiums in the tournament. Other venues with major renovation scopes include the Rose Bowl in Pasadena and Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, though both have more established construction timelines.
FIFA has never relocated a men's World Cup match from one host country to another after the final schedule was published. However, it has moved matches within host countries and relocated matches in other FIFA tournaments, like the 2010 U20 Women's World Cup in Germany. The tri-national nature of 2026 creates a new possibility for cross-border relocation.
The FIFA Council, led by President Gianni Infantino, holds the final authority to approve a match relocation. This decision would follow recommendations from the Chief Tournaments & Events Officer and the local organizing committee. The process would involve consultations with the host associations of all three countries.
Based on past FIFA tournament changes, notice could be relatively short. For the 2010 U20 Women's World Cup, FIFA announced the opening match relocation about four months before the tournament. For a 2026 relocation, FIFA would likely aim for at least 6-12 months' notice to reorganize logistics, but a crisis could force a decision with less lead time.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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Before Jun 11, 2026 If FIFA officially relocates at least one 2026 FIFA World Cup match from a U.S. venue to a venue outside the United States before ||date||, then the market resolves to Yes. A relocation requires FIFA to officially move a match from any U.S. venue (including all 50 states, DC, and U.S. territories) to a venue outside the United States. Official relocations are confirmed through FIFA's updated match schedule, official announcements, or the organizing committee's statements. Mo
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is scheduled to begin on Thursday, June 11, and conclude on Sunday, July 19. More information about the match schedule can be found here (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026/articles/match-schedule-fixtures-results-teams-stadiums). According to ESPN, there have been complaints about the summertime heat across America, causing FIFA to consider relocating the 2026 World Cup out of the United States. This market will resolve to “Yes” if it
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is scheduled to begin on Thursday, June 11, and conclude on Sunday, July 19. More information about the match schedule can be found here (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026/articles/match-schedule-fixtures-results-teams-stadiums). According
If FIFA officially relocates at least one 2026 FIFA World Cup match from a U.S. venue to a venue outside the United States before ||date||, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A relocation requires FIFA to officially move a match from any U.S. venue (including all 50 states, DC, and U.
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