Will any 2026 World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad before Jun 11, 2026? | PredictPedia

GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Event GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform2 EventsSports

Will any 2026 World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad before Jun 11, 2026?

Name: Will any 2026 World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad before Jun 11, 2026?
End: 2026-06-10T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$10.85K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $10.85K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

4.0%avg

max 4.0%

Arbitrage

of 1 cross-platform

Calculate

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.85K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?

Arbitrage

No data available

Cross-Platform Comparison(1)

Market	Polymarket	Kalshi	Diff
Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?ARB	8%	4%	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$10.85K

Volume

Markets

4.0%

Price Gap

About This Event

Before Jun 11, 2026 If FIFA officially relocates at least one 2026 FIFA World Cup match from a U.S. venue to a venue outside the United States before ||date||, then the market resolves to Yes. A relocation requires FIFA to officially move a match from any U.S. venue (including all 50 states, DC, and U.S. territories) to a venue outside the United States. Official relocations are confirmed through FIFA's updated match schedule, official announcements, or the organizing committee's statements. Mo

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, May 23, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will any 2026 World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad before Jun 11, 2026?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jun 11, 2026

If FIFA officially relocates at least one 2026 FIFA World Cup match from a U.S. venue to a venue outside the United States before ||date||, then the market resolves to Yes. A relocation requires FIFA to officially move a match from any U.S. venue (including all 50 states, DC, and U.S. territories) to a venue outside the United States. Official relocations are confirmed through FIFA's updated match schedule, official announcements, or the organizing committee's statements. Mo

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If FIFA officially relocates at least one 2026 FIFA World Cup match from a U.S. venue to a venue outside the United States before ||date||, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A relocation requires FIFA to officially move a match from any U.S. venue (including all 50 states, DC, and U."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $5.0K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.15)
* **Platform Split:** Polymarket (1 mkts) vs Kalshi (1 mkts)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 10, 2026): Vol $10.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 4.0% spread between platforms.

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

17d 3h remaining

Jun 10, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

8¢

Polymarket

4¢

Kalshi

4¢ price gap

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

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