Billboard Hot 100 #1 on Jan 24, 2026 chart? | PredictPedia

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16 markets tracked

Will The Fate Of Ophelia be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

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Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Will The Fate Of Ophelia be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?	Kalshi	92%
Will I Just Might be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?	Kalshi	8%
Will Man I Need be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?	Kalshi	1%
Will Golden be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?	Kalshi	1%
Will End of Beginning be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?	Kalshi	1%
Will So Easy (To Fall In Love) be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?	Kalshi	1%
Will WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?	Kalshi	1%
Will I Got Better be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?	Kalshi	1%
Will A COLD PLAY be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?	Kalshi	1%
Will Ordinary be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?	Kalshi	1%
Will Opalite be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?	Kalshi	1%
Will Mutt be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?	Kalshi	1%
Will Folded be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?	Kalshi	1%
Will Daisies be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?	Kalshi	1%
Will Choosin' Texas be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?	Kalshi	1%
Will Back To Friends be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?	Kalshi	1%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Billboard Hot 100 #1 on Jan 24, 2026 chart?
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Jan 24, 2026

If X is the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts for Jan 24, 2026 then the market resolves to Yes. **This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi.**The Billboard Hot 100 measures music consumption from a Friday to Thursday. This is released as the chart for th

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If I Just Might is the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts for Jan 24, 2026 then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: **This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, an"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $50.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.26M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will I Just Might be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $19.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will End of Beginning be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will So Easy (To Fall In Love) be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $912
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $866
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will I Got Better be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $708
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will A COLD PLAY be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $722
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will The Fate Of Ophelia be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $19.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ordinary be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Opalite be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $909
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Mutt be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $210
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Man I Need be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $708
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Golden be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Folded be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $160
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Daisies be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Choosin' Texas be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Back To Friends be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $613
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

7¢

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Billboard Hot 100 #1 on Jan 24, 2026 chart?

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Will The Fate Of Ophelia be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

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Events (1)

Billboard Hot 100 #1 on Jan 24, 2026 chart?

Markets (16)

Will The Fate Of Ophelia be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

Will The Fate Of Ophelia be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

Will I Just Might be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

Will I Just Might be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

Will Man I Need be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

Will Man I Need be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

Will Golden be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

Will Golden be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

Will End of Beginning be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

Will End of Beginning be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

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Will The Fate Of Ophelia be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Billboard Hot 100 #1 on Jan 24, 2026 chart?

Will The Fate Of Ophelia be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

Will The Fate Of Ophelia be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

Will I Just Might be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

Will I Just Might be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

Will Man I Need be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

Will Man I Need be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

Will Golden be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

Will Golden be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

Will End of Beginning be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

Will End of Beginning be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 charts this week?

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