Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026

Total Volume

$211.26K

Events

Markets

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Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026

Vol

$211.26K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $211.26K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $211.26K

100%

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7 markets tracked

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 87.5 TWh?

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Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 87.5 TWh?	Kalshi	97%
Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 90.0 TWh?	Kalshi	96%
Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 92.5 TWh?	Kalshi	95%
Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 95.0 TWh?	Kalshi	93%
Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 97.5 TWh?	Kalshi	51%
Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 100.0 TWh?	Kalshi	6%
Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 102.5 TWh?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

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97%

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$211.26K

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About This Event

2026 If EIA reports that Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for calendar year 2026 is above X TWh, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is Illinois’s calendar-year total nuclear electricity net generation, expressed in terawatt-hours, TWh. EIA reports the underlying generation data in megawatthours, MWh; 1 TWh = 1,000,000 MWh. Generation from nuclear facilities located in Illinois is included. Resolution is based on the first EIA publication contain

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If EIA reports that Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for calendar year 2026 is above X TWh, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is Illinois’s calendar-year total nuclear electricity net generation, expressed in terawatt-hours, TWh. EIA reports the underlying generation data in megawatthours, MWh; 1 TWh = 1,000,000 MWh. Generation from nuclear facilities located in Illinois is included. Resolution is based on the first EIA publication contain

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If EIA reports that Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for calendar year 2026 is above 

102.5 TWh, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is Illinois’s calendar-year total nuclear electricity net generation, expressed in terawatt-hours (T"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $211.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 102.5 TWh?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 7, 2027): Vol $21.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 87.5 TWh?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 7, 2027): Vol $8.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 90.0 TWh?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 7, 2027): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 97.5 TWh?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 7, 2027): Vol $46.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 95.0 TWh?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 7, 2027): Vol $40.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 92.5 TWh?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 7, 2027): Vol $32.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 100.0 TWh?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 7, 2027): Vol $56.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026

Volume$211.26K

Markets7

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KALSHI

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 87.5 TWh?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 87.5 TWh?

If EIA reports that Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for calendar year 2026 is above 87.5 TWh, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is Illinois’s calendar-year total nuclear electricity net generation, expressed in terawatt-hours (TW

KALSHI

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 90.0 TWh?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 90.0 TWh?

If EIA reports that Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for calendar year 2026 is above 90.0 TWh, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is Illinois’s calendar-year total nuclear electricity net generation, expressed in terawatt-hours (TW

KALSHI

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 92.5 TWh?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 92.5 TWh?

If EIA reports that Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for calendar year 2026 is above 92.5 TWh, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is Illinois’s calendar-year total nuclear electricity net generation, expressed in terawatt-hours (TW

KALSHI

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 95.0 TWh?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 95.0 TWh?

If EIA reports that Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for calendar year 2026 is above 95.0 TWh, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is Illinois’s calendar-year total nuclear electricity net generation, expressed in terawatt-hours (TW

KALSHI

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 97.5 TWh?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 97.5 TWh?

If EIA reports that Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for calendar year 2026 is above 97.5 TWh, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is Illinois’s calendar-year total nuclear electricity net generation, expressed in terawatt-hours (TW

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Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026

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Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 87.5 TWh?

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Events (1)

Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026

Markets (7)

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 87.5 TWh?

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 87.5 TWh?

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 90.0 TWh?

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 90.0 TWh?

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 92.5 TWh?

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 92.5 TWh?

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 95.0 TWh?

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 95.0 TWh?

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 97.5 TWh?

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 97.5 TWh?

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Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 87.5 TWh?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 87.5 TWh?

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 87.5 TWh?

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 90.0 TWh?

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 90.0 TWh?

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 92.5 TWh?

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 92.5 TWh?

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 95.0 TWh?

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 95.0 TWh?

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 97.5 TWh?

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 97.5 TWh?

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