GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

Name: What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
End: 2026-12-31T21:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$339.45K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

Vol

$339.45K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $339.45K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $339.45K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December?	Poly	73%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?	Poly	68%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?	Poly	60%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?	Poly	38%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Poly	33%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?	Poly	17%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Poly	16%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?	Poly	11%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Poly	9%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Poly	7%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,000 (HIGH) in December?	Poly	4%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	Poly	4%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?	Poly	3%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $10,000 (HIGH) in December?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

73%

Top Probability

$339.45K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December 2026?

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (117 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December 2026?

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices rec"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $279.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $55.7K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,000 (HIGH) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $78
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 68.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $10,000 (HIGH) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $103
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 73.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $559
  DATA: [Yes: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $343
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $9.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $30.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $23.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $52.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.4% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $41.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $56.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $60.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December 2026?

Volume$339.45K

Markets14

14 of 14

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 73.0¢No 27.0¢

POLYMARKETFinance

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices reco

POLYMARKET

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 68.0¢No 32.0¢

POLYMARKETFinance

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?

POLYMARKET

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 60.0¢No 40.0¢

POLYMARKETFinance

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices rec

POLYMARKET

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢

POLYMARKETFinance

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?

POLYMARKET

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢

POLYMARKETFinance

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices rec

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Next Market Closes

116d 21h remaining

Dec 31, 2026 9:00 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

25¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/RqGHPV" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

Markets (14)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Next Market Closes

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Next Market Closes

Share

Embed Widget