GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	67%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	32%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Burundi be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	32%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	28%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Kenya be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	27%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Tanzania be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	26%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in United States be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	24%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Angola be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	23%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Zambia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	21%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in India be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	19%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Republic of the Congo be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	18%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Canada be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	16%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Nigeria be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	15%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Ethiopia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	12%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in China be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	10%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	9%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

67%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before 2027 If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease X is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed X — a citizen Y diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Z do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jan 1, 2027 do n

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2027

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease X is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed X — a citizen Y diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Z do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jan 1, 2027 do n

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Zambia is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will a human case of Ebola disease in Zambia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will a human case of Ebola disease in Tanzania be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will a human case of Ebola disease in Angola be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will a human case of Ebola disease in Nigeria be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will a human case of Ebola disease in Ethiopia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will a human case of Ebola disease in Canada be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will a human case of Ebola disease in United States be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will a human case of Ebola disease in Kenya be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will a human case of Ebola disease in India be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will a human case of Ebola disease in Republic of the Congo be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will a human case of Ebola disease in China be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will a human case of Ebola disease in Burundi be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Volume$0.00

Markets16

16 of 16

Sort:

KALSHI

Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 66.5¢No 33.5¢

KALSHIHealth

Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be conf

KALSHI

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 31.5¢No 68.5¢

KALSHIHealth

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed

KALSHI

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Burundi be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 31.5¢No 68.5¢

KALSHIHealth

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Burundi be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Burundi is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirme

KALSHI

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 27.5¢No 72.5¢

KALSHIHealth

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case

KALSHI

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Kenya be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 26.5¢No 73.5¢

KALSHIHealth

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Kenya be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Kenya is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

23¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Rqeq5V" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Markets (16)

Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Burundi be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Burundi be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Kenya be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Kenya be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Burundi be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Burundi be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Kenya be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Kenya be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget