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Events
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Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 25?

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 25?
Vol

PM $174.4

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 22, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 17% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes17%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $174.4

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 22?

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 22?

PM $1.4K
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 22?Yes <0.1%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 23?

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 23?

PM $458.06
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 23?Yes 36.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 24?

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 24?

PM $388.34
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 24?Yes <0.1%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AP calls the House by...?

AP calls the House by...?

PM $12.9K
Will AP call US House control by December 31, 11:59 PM?Yes 99.4%
Will AP call US House control by November 13, 11:59 PM?Yes 98.5%
Will AP call US House control by November 10, 11:59 PM?Yes 97.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?

When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?

K 30.4K contracts
Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Dec 4, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Nov 27, 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Nov 20, 2026?Yes 29%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
White House # posts October 23 - October 30, 2026?

White House # posts October 23 - October 30, 2026?

PM $527.56
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Yes 80.5%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Yes 2.9%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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