Name: Precipitation in Seattle in March?
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

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Precipitation in Seattle in March? | PredictPedia

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7 markets tracked

Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?

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Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?	Poly	100%
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in March?	Poly	0%
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?	Poly	0%
Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?	Poly	0%
Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?	Poly	0%
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?	Poly	0%
Will Seattle have between 7 and 8 inches of precipitation in March?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Precipitation in Seattle in March?
**Category:** Climate | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $343.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $158.1K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.17)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in March?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $62.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $36.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $24.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $19.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $167.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $18.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.4% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Seattle have between 7 and 8 inches of precipitation in March?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $13.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

14¢

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Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?

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Events (1)

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

Markets (7)

Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?

Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?

Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in March?

Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in March?

Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?

Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?

Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?

Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?

Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?

Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?

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Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?

Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?

Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in March?

Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in March?

Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?

Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?

Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?

Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?

Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?

Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?

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