Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Kachmazov vs Friend

Total Volume

$848.04

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Kachmazov vs Friend

Vol

$848.04

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $848.04

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $848.04

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Jay Friend wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Jay Friend wins	Kalshi	56%
Alibek Kachmazov wins	Kalshi	43%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$848.04

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Kachmazov vs Friend (Oct 13) If X wins the Kachmazov vs Friend professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Jinan Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Kachmazov vs Friend professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Jinan Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Kachmazov vs Friend
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Kachmazov vs Friend (Oct 13)

If X wins the Kachmazov vs Friend professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Jinan Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Kachmazov vs Friend professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Jinan Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Alibek Kachmazov wins the Kachmazov vs Friend professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Jinan Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Kachmazov vs Friend professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Cha"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $848
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Alibek Kachmazov wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $220
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Jay Friend wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $628
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Kachmazov vs Friend

Volume$848.04

Markets2

2 of 2

Sort:

KALSHI

Jay Friend wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 56.5¢No 43.5¢

KALSHISports

Jay Friend wins

If Jay Friend wins the Kachmazov vs Friend professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Jinan Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Kachmazov vs Friend professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenge

KALSHI

Alibek Kachmazov wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 43.0¢No 57.0¢

KALSHISports

Alibek Kachmazov wins

If Alibek Kachmazov wins the Kachmazov vs Friend professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Jinan Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Kachmazov vs Friend professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Cha

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/RySCj5" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Kachmazov vs Friend"></iframe>

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Events (1)

Kachmazov vs Friend

Markets (2)

Jay Friend wins

Jay Friend wins

Alibek Kachmazov wins

Alibek Kachmazov wins

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Jay Friend wins

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Kachmazov vs Friend

Jay Friend wins

Jay Friend wins

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