Name: FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia - More Markets
End: 2026-04-20T15:00:00.000Z

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FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia - More Markets | PredictPedia

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9 markets tracked

FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Over/Under 1.5

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Over/Under 1.5	Poly	71%
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Both Teams to Score	Poly	51%
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	45%
Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)	Poly	34%
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Over/Under 3.5	Poly	30%
Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-2.5)	Poly	21%
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Over/Under 4.5	Poly	19%
Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)	Poly	11%
Spread: FK Polissia (-2.5)	Poly	6%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia - More Markets
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 20, 2026 (5 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** More markets for the Ukraine Premier Liha game, scheduled for April 20 at 11:00 AM ET.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming Ukraine Premier Liha game between FK Shakhtar Donetsk and FK Polissia, scheduled for April 20 at 11:00 AM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if FK Shakhtar Donetsk and FK Polissia combine to score 5 or more goals in this game.

If the combined total is less than 5, this market w"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $20
* **Total Liquidity:** $671
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.03)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Over/Under 4.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [FK Shakhtar Donetsk: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [FK Polissia: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [FK Polissia: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [FK Shakhtar Donetsk: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [FK Shakhtar Donetsk: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [FK Polissia: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Spread: FK Polissia (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $18
  DATA: [FK Polissia: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [FK Shakhtar Donetsk: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Over/Under 1.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Over: 71.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 29.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Over/Under 3.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Both Teams to Score
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

4d 6h remaining

Apr 20, 2026 3:00 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

32¢

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FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Over/Under 1.5

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Events (1)

FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia - More Markets

Markets (9)

FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Both Teams to Score

FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Both Teams to Score

FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Over/Under 4.5

FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Over/Under 4.5

Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)

Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)

Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)

Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)

Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-2.5)

Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-2.5)

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FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Over/Under 1.5

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FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia - More Markets

FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Both Teams to Score

FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Both Teams to Score

FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Over/Under 4.5

FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Polissia: Over/Under 4.5

Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)

Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)

Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)

Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)

Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-2.5)

Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-2.5)

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