Solana Up or Down - November 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
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Solana Up or Down - November 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T00:00:05.995Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single binary market from Polymarket on the price of Solana over a five-minute window, titled "Solana Up or Down - November 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET" [1]. According to the saved rules, the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The source is the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-11-01T22:20:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time, so readers should confirm that this UTC timestamp matches the 5:20 PM ET close they expect before relying on the listing.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices are "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are prices from a single observation, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The observation time is 2026-11-01T00:00:05.995Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-01T00:20:22.643Z [1]. Those times describe when this snapshot was saved. They do not show the market's price at the time you read this, and the status shown in the record ("active") reflects the saved record only.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record shows one total market, one included, with no partial sample [1]. Volume, trader counts, and order book depth are not included in this evidence, so the snapshot says nothing about liquidity or how many people hold each position.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices sit where they do, and this analysis does not offer a reason. It also does not include any Solana price data for the window, so the snapshot cannot indicate how the TWAP will compare with the starting price. The difference between 0.505 and 0.495 is small, and a single saved observation does not show whether that gap persists.
Because this is one contract, there is no cross-platform comparison here. Similar Solana contracts elsewhere may use different windows, sources, or close times, and their prices should not be compared directly with this one without checking those rules.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - November 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T00:00:05.995Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term price contract on Polymarket that asks whether Solana's price will finish a five-minute window higher or lower than where it started. The contract is titled "Solana Up or Down - November 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET" and is categorized under crypto [1]. Its rules state that it will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measurement is tied to a specific data feed. The stated resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval [1]. The rules also say the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink TWAP data stream for the SOL/USD pair, not any other source or spot market [1]. A contract trader therefore needs to focus on how that feed averages prices across the window, not on the last trade seen on an exchange. The contract data lists an end time of 2026-11-01T22:20:00Z and a provider status of active [1]. That listed end time is the close date recorded in the contract data. It is not a separate announcement of an event, and the contract's resolution is not reported here.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink SOL/USD time-weighted average price over the stated five-minute window ends at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because it uses an average over the window rather than a single moment, the outcome depends on how the price moves across the whole period, as recorded by that specific feed [1]. The rules also make clear that other exchanges and spot markets do not determine the result [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Do prices on other exchanges or spot markets affect the outcome?
The rules say the market is about the price according to the Chainlink TWAP data stream for SOL/USD, not any other sources or spot markets [1].
What does the listed end time mean?
The contract data lists an end time of 2026-11-01T22:20:00Z [1]. This is the recorded end time of the contract and does not by itself confirm how the market resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.