GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Which streaming service will win the most Emmys?

Name: Which streaming service will win the most Emmys?
End: 2026-09-14T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$76.07K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Which streaming service will win the most Emmys?

Vol

$76.07K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $76.07K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $76.07K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?	Poly	76%
Will Netflix win the most Emmys?	Poly	14%
Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?	Poly	11%
Will Hulu win the most Emmys?	Poly	0%
Will Disney+ win the most Emmys?	Poly	0%
Will Prime Video win the most Emmys?	Poly	0%
Will Peacock win the most Emmys?	Poly	0%
Will Paramount+ win the most Emmys?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

76%

Top Probability

$76.07K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards. An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which streaming service will win the most Emmys?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Sep 14, 2026 (10 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.

An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if t

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $76.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $21.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.55)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $32.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Netflix win the most Emmys?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $23.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $17.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.3% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Hulu win the most Emmys?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $648
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Disney+ win the most Emmys?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $678
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Prime Video win the most Emmys?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $462
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Peacock win the most Emmys?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $675
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Paramount+ win the most Emmys?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $637
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture