GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

22 markets tracked

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(22)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	95%
Will Marine Le Pen appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	92%
Will Édouard Philippe appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	91%
Will Bruno Retailleau appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	89%
Will Nathalie Arthaud appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	86%
Will Éric Zemmour appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	78%
Will Gabriel Attal appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	76%
Will Fabien Roussel appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	75%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	66%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	49%
Will Dominique de Villepin appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	48%
Will François Ruffin appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	34%
Will Marine Tondelier appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	24%
Will François Hollande appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	20%
Will François Asselineau appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	8%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	8%
Will Jérôme Guedj appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	6%
Will Karim Bouamrane appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	5%
Will Olivier Faure appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	4%
Will Gérald Darmanin appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	4%
Will Clémentine Autain appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	4%
Will Jordan Bardella appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

95%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Jun 30, 2027 If X is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jun 30, 2027

If X is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Raphaël Glucksmann is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Raphaël Glucksmann appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Olivier Faure appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Nathalie Arthaud appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Marine Tondelier appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Marine Le Pen appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Karim Bouamrane appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Jérôme Guedj appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Jordan Bardella appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Gérald Darmanin appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Gabriel Attal appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 76.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will François Ruffin appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Fabien Roussel appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 75.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will François Hollande appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will François Asselineau appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Éric Zemmour appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Édouard Philippe appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Dominique de Villepin appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Clémentine Autain appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Bruno Retailleau appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Bernard Cazeneuve appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Volume$0.00

Markets22

22 of 22

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

If Jean-Luc Mélenchon is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will Marine Le Pen appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Marine Le Pen appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

If Marine Le Pen is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will Édouard Philippe appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.5¢No 9.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Édouard Philippe appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

If Édouard Philippe is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will Bruno Retailleau appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Bruno Retailleau appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

If Bruno Retailleau is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will Nathalie Arthaud appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.0¢No 14.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Nathalie Arthaud appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

If Nathalie Arthaud is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

44¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/S3i4rS" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Markets (22)

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Édouard Philippe appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Édouard Philippe appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Bruno Retailleau appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Bruno Retailleau appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Nathalie Arthaud appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Nathalie Arthaud appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Édouard Philippe appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Édouard Philippe appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Bruno Retailleau appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Bruno Retailleau appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Nathalie Arthaud appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Nathalie Arthaud appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget