Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Tlaxcala Governor winner?

Total Volume

$44.42K

Events

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Tlaxcala Governor winner?

Vol

$44.42K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $44.42K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $44.42K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	53%
Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	9%
Will Raymundo Vázquez Conchas win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Concepción Sánchez González win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	2%
Will Sergio Iván Larios Salas win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Raúl Antonio Hernández Castro win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Miriam Martínez Sánchez win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Juan Salvador Santos Cedillo win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Héctor Bernardo Paredes Mora win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Francisco Javier Soto Hernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Delfino Suárez Piedras win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Arturo Díaz Gutiérrez win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Vicente Emilio Ponce Cano win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Juan Manuel Cambrón Soria win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Irma Yordana Garay Loredo win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Floria María Hernández Hernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Enrique Padilla Sánchez win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Carlos Augusto Pérez Hernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Alejandro Aguilar López win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

53%

Top Probability

$44.42K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

in 2027 If X wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Tlaxcala Governor winner?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** in 2027

If X wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Vicente Emilio Ponce Cano wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $44.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Vicente Emilio Ponce Cano win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2028): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Sergio Iván Larios Salas win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2028): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Raymundo Vázquez Conchas win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2028): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Raúl Antonio Hernández Castro win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2028): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Miriam Martínez Sánchez win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2028): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Juan Salvador Santos Cedillo win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2028): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Juan Manuel Cambrón Soria win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2028): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Irma Yordana Garay Loredo win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2028): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Héctor Bernardo Paredes Mora win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2028): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Floria María Hernández Hernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2028): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Francisco Javier Soto Hernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2028): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Enrique Padilla Sánchez win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2028): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Delfino Suárez Piedras win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2028): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Concepción Sánchez González win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2028): Vol $6.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Carlos Augusto Pérez Hernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2028): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2028): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2028): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Arturo Díaz Gutiérrez win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2028): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2028): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Alejandro Aguilar López win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2028): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Tlaxcala Governor winner?

Volume$44.42K

Markets20

20 of 20

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KALSHI

Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

If Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

If Alfonso Sánchez García wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Raymundo Vázquez Conchas win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Raymundo Vázquez Conchas win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

If Raymundo Vázquez Conchas wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Concepción Sánchez González win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Concepción Sánchez González win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

If Concepción Sánchez González wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Sergio Iván Larios Salas win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Sergio Iván Larios Salas win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

If Sergio Iván Larios Salas wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

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Tlaxcala Governor winner?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

AI Analysis

About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Tlaxcala Governor winner?

Markets (20)

Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

Will Raymundo Vázquez Conchas win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

Will Raymundo Vázquez Conchas win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

Will Concepción Sánchez González win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

Will Concepción Sánchez González win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

Will Sergio Iván Larios Salas win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

Will Sergio Iván Larios Salas win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

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Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tlaxcala Governor winner?

Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

Will Raymundo Vázquez Conchas win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

Will Raymundo Vázquez Conchas win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

Will Concepción Sánchez González win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

Will Concepción Sánchez González win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

Will Sergio Iván Larios Salas win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

Will Sergio Iván Larios Salas win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?

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